The 2024 United States presidential election in Massachusetts was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections. Massachusetts voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. Eleven members of the Electoral College came from Massachusetts.
A New England state, Massachusetts has been a Democratic leaning state since 1928, and a Democratic stronghold since 1960, and is considered a deeply blue state today. Democrats have consistently defeated Republicans by large margins in Massachusetts since 1996. In 2020, Joe Biden won the state by more than 33%, the largest margin since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964.
Kamala Harris won Massachusetts along with every county in the state. She defeated Donald Trump by 25 points. This was an eight-point shift toward the Republican Party from 2020, and Harris's margin was smaller than that for Hillary Clinton in 2016. Despite Harris winning over 60% of the vote in the state and every county there, Massachusetts had one of the largest swings of any state, swinging by more than the national swing of about 6%.
This was part of a trend of blue states, such as New York, New Jersey, California (Harris's home state), and Illinois, which all swung significantly towards Republicans.
The Massachusetts Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
The Massachusetts Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
The Massachusetts Libertarian primary was held on March 5, 2024.
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
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Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
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Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump
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Harris won all nine congressional districts.
Harris's 25.20% margin was similar to those of other 21st century Democratic nominees, but below Hillary Clinton's 27.20% margin in 2016 and Joe Biden's 33.46% margin in 2020, and she did win every county in the state.
But despite remaining strongly Democratic, Massachusetts shifted significantly rightward in this election, with all of its counties shifting rightward. It had one of the largest swings of any state, swinging by 8%, which was more than the national swing of 6%. Per the Fox News exit poll, Harris did better among voters making over $100,000 a year in Massachusetts (66âÂÂ32%) than all other groups making less than $100,000 a year. Relatedly, Harris won voters with graduate degrees in Massachusetts in a landslide (75âÂÂ22%), better than all other educational groups.
This was despite the state being one of the most liberal, and Harris winning every county in the state. This also suggests that Harris's loss was not simply due to her policy positions or messaging being perceived as too left-wing. This was part of all 50 states and D.C. shifting rightward, the first time they all swung in the same direction since 1976, despite Harris losing the popular vote by just 1.5%. No county flipped Democratic, the first time since 1932 that the losing candidate did not flip a single county.
Many of the bluest states shifted significantly rightward. Even D.C. shifted moderately rightward by 3%, despite giving Harris over 90% of the vote. (Harris also lived in D.C. at the time, as the incumbent vice president.) Massachusetts shifted by about as much as the red states of Texas (by 8%) and Florida (by 10%), as well as the blue states of California (by 9%), New Jersey (by 10%), and New York (by 11%). By contrast, some blue states only narrowly shifted rightward, including Washington (state) (by 1%), Oregon (by 2%), Maine (by 2%), and Colorado (by 2.5%).
This was the first time that a Democrat won less than 50% of the vote in Bristol County since 1992, the closest a Republican had come to winning a county in Massachusetts since 1988, and the first time a Republican candidate won Fall River since 1924. Trump was initially ahead in Bristol County on election night before it narrowly flipped blue as more votes were counted. In addition, it was the first time a Republican candidate won Somerset since 1956, and the first time a Republican candidate won Westport and Seekonk (all in Bristol County) since 1984. Of the 351 municipalities in Massachusetts, Trump flipped 26, while Harris flipped none. Three hundred thirty-nine municipalities shifted towards Trump, while only 12 shifted towards Harris. Harris's largest gain was in Gosnold, where she improved on Biden's margin of victory by 12.2%, while Trump's largest gain was in Lawrence, where he cut his margin of defeat by 31%. Despite losing the city to Harris by a wide margin, Trump managed to win two precincts in Boston, the first time in his three runs that he managed to win any.
Trump's gains were powered significantly by Hispanic Americans, who make up a significant percentage of the population of Massachusetts and shifted heavily to the right in 2024. Lawrence, a heavily Dominican American city in northern Massachusetts, gave Trump 43% of the vote, a gain of over 30% from 2020. The six most Hispanic cities in Massachusetts (namely Lawrence, Lynn, Everett, Chelsea, Holyoke, and Springfield) saw Harris' margin of victory drop a combined 18% from 2020.
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