The 2024 United States presidential election in Texas was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Texas voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Texas had 40 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained two seats.
Texas was considered by some pollsters and experts to be potentially in play, as the state had not backed a Republican for president by double digits since it favored Mitt Romney in 2012. This increased competitiveness was largely explained by the fast-growing Texas Triangle trending leftwards in some elections, namely in the closely-contested 2018 U.S. Senate race and the 2020 U.S. presidential election, which saw the Metroplex county of Tarrant and the Greater Austin counties of Williamson and Hays flip to the Democratic candidate for the first time in decades. However, in the 2020 state elections, predominantly Hispanic South Texas shifted significantly Republican, a trend that the rest of the state followed in the 2022 midterms. In 2024, Trump went on to win Texas by a margin of over 1.5 million votes, the largest margin of victory in the state in 2 decades in terms of absolute vote count (although Harris' 42.5% of the vote did exceed the Democratic vote percentage in the 2012 and 2004 elections within those 2 decades).
TrumpâÂÂs 13.7% margin was significantly greater than his single-digit margins in 2016 and 2020. Trump significantly outperformed his polling averages in the state and became the first presidential candidate to win Texas by double digits since 2012, reversing the trend towards Democrats that Texas had exhibited in the two previous presidential elections. According to exit polls, 55% of Latinos in the state voted for Trump. This marked the first time a Republican candidate won a majority of both Asian and Latino voters in Texas, a feat that even former Governor George W. Bush did not achieve.
Trump carried all but two Texas counties located on the MexicoâÂÂUnited States border (El Paso County and Presidio County), and most of these border counties had some of the largest swings in the country, some shifting upwards of 20% to the right. Trump made his largest county gain in the country in 95% Hispanic Maverick County, which swung 28% to the right. Trump also won 97.7% Hispanic Starr County, the most Hispanic county in the country, the first time a Republican won the county since 1892. Harris's total of 12 counties won was the least for any Democrat in the state since George McGovern in 1972.
Trump became the first presidential candidate to receive over 6 million votes in Texas, setting a record for the most votes received by a candidate in any election in the state, as well as the largest vote total ever received by a Republican presidential candidate in any state. Greater Houston and the DallasâÂÂFort Worth metroplex also flipped back to supporting Trump after voting for Joe Biden in 2020.
The Texas Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Incumbent president Joe Biden won the state in a landslide, with minor opposition from various other candidates, particularly in the Lower Rio Grande Valley region. Biden lost Loving County, in which there was only one ballot cast for Frankie Lozada.
The Texas Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Former president Donald Trump easily won the state and all of its delegates against Nikki Haley, who remained his only major opposition. Trump received the endorsements of U.S. senators John Cornyn and Ted Cruz, as well as Texas governor Greg Abbott, in his primary campaign.
The Texas Secretary of State's office announced on August 8 that Robert F. Kennedy Jr. would appear on the state ballot. Kennedy dropped out of the race nationally on August 23.
The following presidential candidates received ballot access in Texas:
In addition, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. was on the ballot under the Texas Independent Party before he suspended his campaign.
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Aggregate polls
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
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Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Jill Stein
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Manchin vs. Cornel West
Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Ron DeSantis vs. Kamala Harris
Vivek Ramaswamy vs. Joe Biden
Mike Pence vs. Joe Biden
Tim Scott vs. Joe Biden
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Trump won 27 of 38 congressional districts, including two that elected Democrats.
A heavily populated West South Central state, Texas is one of the fastest growing and most diverse states in the U.S. and is generally considered to be a red state, not having voted Democratic in a presidential election since 1976 and with Republicans holding all statewide offices since 1999. Texas's location in the American South and largely in the greater Bible Belt has given the Republican Party the upper hand in the state in recent decades. Trump received the most raw votes for a political candidate ever in Texas, breaking his own record from 2020 by over 500,000. The Democratic vote total fell by 425,000 between 2020 and 2024. Compared to 2020, Trump improved his performance in 233 counties while Harris improved on Biden's performance in 21 counties. Loving and Kaufman counties were the only counties in Texas to swing to the Democrats by more than 5% (Loving County has a total population of 64, making large percentage swings common).
Trump flipped 10 counties that voted for Biden in 2020, including multiple heavily Hispanic counties in the Rio Grande Valley and South Texas. Notably, he took 58% of the vote in 97.7% Hispanic Starr County, becoming the first Republican to win it since Benjamin Harrison in 1892. Trump also became the first Republican to win Duval County since Theodore Roosevelt in 1904, the first Republican to win Webb County since William Howard Taft in 1912, the first Republican to win Maverick County since Herbert Hoover in 1928, the first Republican to win Hidalgo County and Willacy County since Richard Nixon in 1972, and the first Republican to win Cameron County and Culberson County since George W. Bush in 2004. Most of these South Texas counties have some of the lowest levels of educational attainment in the country, with Trump winning 48% of non-white voters without college degrees per the exit poll.
Trump won the three largest metro areas in Texas: Dallas-Fort Worth (by a margin of about 7 percentage points), Greater Houston (also by about 7 percentage points), and Greater San Antonio (by about 5 percentage points). Trump also carried every other metro area in the state except for Greater Austin and El Paso (though he greatly improved on his 2020 margins in both of these).
Trump made his three largest county gains in the United States compared to 2020 in Maverick County, Texas (by 27.95%), Webb County, Texas (by 25.43%), and Imperial County, California (by 25.23%). All three counties are heavily populated by Mexican Americans, located along the MexicoâÂÂUnited States border. Harris significantly underperformed Biden among Hispanic voters, including Mexican American voters. California and Texas are both over 25% Mexican American. Even though Harris won El Paso County, the Democratic margin of victory was reduced by 20% from 2020, with Trump winning 42% of the vote in the county. This was the highest vote share in the county by a Republican nominee since 2004, when former Governor of Texas George W. Bush won 43% of the vote in the county.
Amongst the states, Texas had the sixth-largest swing to Republican in this election, with Trump increasing his margin of victory from 2020 by 8.1%. It was also the second largest swing to Republican (after Florida) in a state that he won.