The 2024 United States Senate election in Texas was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Texas. Republican senator Ted Cruz was re-elected a third term, defeating Democratic U.S. representative Colin Allred. The primary election took place on March 5, 2024, during Super Tuesday.
Early polling showed Cruz as a clear favorite, but polls closer to the election showed a closer race. Cruz ultimately outperformed polling and expectations and won re-election by 8.49%, improving on his 2018 margin by six points and flipping thirteen counties.
Texas is generally considered to be a Republican stronghold, having not elected a Democrat to any statewide office since 1994. Republicans control both U.S. Senate seats, all statewide offices, both houses of the Texas Legislature, and a large majority in Texas's U.S. House congressional delegation. Cruz was first elected in 2012, defeating Paul Sadler by 16 points and was reelected in 2018 by less than 3 points, narrowly defeating Beto O'Rourke. The close elections in 2018 prompted many electoral analysts to speculate that Texas could become a swing state, but in the 2020 and 2022 elections, Republicans increased their margins of victory. This race was considered to generally favor Cruz, but some considered the race to have the potential to become competitive.
Aggregate polls<br />
Ted Cruz vs. Roland Gutierrez<br />
Cruz won 25 of 38 congressional districts.
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Cruz won a majority of Hispanic and Latino voters, particularly those living on the border with Mexico who had traditionally supported Democratic candidates; the NBC News exit poll showed 52% of Latinos supported Cruz, a 17-point increase from 2018.
Allred overperformed Kamala Harris in the concurrent presidential election in Texas by 5.5 points, receiving nearly 200,000 votes more than Harris and performing better than she did in the largely Hispanic Rio Grande Valley.
Partisan clients<br />
Official campaign websites