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Opinion polling for the 2025 Canadian federal election

This table provides a list of scientific, nationwide public opinion polls conducted from the 2021 Canadian federal election leading up to the 2025 Canadian federal election.

National polls

Campaign period

The campaign period for the April 28, 2025 election started after the election was called on March 23, 2025.

Pre-campaign period

Voting intention with LPC-NDP merger/alliance

Under Justin Trudeau leadership

Under Jagmeet Singh leadership

Voting intention with Liberal successor candidates

Under Mark Carney leadership

Under Chrystia Freeland leadership

Under Karina Gould leadership

Regional polls

A number of polling firms survey federal voting intentions on a regional or provincial level. Note that this section displays results from stand-alone polls, not subsets of national polls.

Atlantic Canada

New Brunswick

Nova Scotia

Newfoundland and Labrador

Prince Edward Island

Central Canada

Quebec

Ontario

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City of Toronto
Peel Region
City of Mississauga

Western Canada

Manitoba

Saskatchewan

Alberta

British Columbia

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Leadership polls

Aside from conducting the usual opinion surveys on general party preferences, polling firms also survey public opinion on which political party leader would make the best prime minister:

March 2025 – April 2025

November 2022 – March 2025

September 2022 – November 2022

February 2022 – September 2022

Seat projections

Ahead of the election, YouGov published a Multilevel Regression with Poststratification (MRP) model for the election. This large-scale poll and methodology enables the projection of seat totals. Below is their central prediction for seat totals.

Government approval polls

See also

Notes

References