Opinion polling for the 2025 Canadian federal election by constituency

Various polling organizations have conducted opinion polling in specific ridings in the lead up to the 2025 Canadian federal election on April 28, 2025. The results of publicized opinion polling for individual constituencies are detailed in this article.

Given the expense of polling individual constituencies, constituencies are usually only polled if they are of some particular interest, e.g. they are thought to be marginal or facing an impending by-election. The constituencies polled are not necessarily representative of a national average swing. Under the first-past-the-post electoral system the true marginal seats, by definition, will be decisive as to the outcome of the election.

Constituency polls

British Columbia

Burnaby Central

Burnaby North—Seymour

Cloverdale—Langley City

Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam

Cowichan—Malahat—Langford

Nanaimo—Ladysmith

New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville

North Island—Powell River

North Vancouver—Capilano

Saanich—Gulf Islands

Surrey Centre

Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby

Vancouver Granville

Vancouver Quadra

Manitoba

Portage—Lisgar

Winnipeg South Centre

Ontario

Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill

Carleton

Eglinton—Lawrence

Etobicoke—Lakeshore

Mississauga—Erin Mills

Mississauga—Lakeshore

Mississauga—Streetsville

Oakville East

Oakville West

Oxford

Richmond Hill South

Toronto—St. Paul's

York Centre

Quebec

LaSalle—Émard—Verdun

Saskatchewan

Regina—Wascana

Saskatoon—University

Saskatoon South

Saskatoon West

See also

• Opinion polling for the 2025 Canadian federal election

Notes

Notes

In cases when linked poll details distinguish between the margin of error associated with the total sample of respondents (including undecided and non-voters) and that of the subsample of decided/leaning voters, the latter is included in the table. Also not included is the margin of error created by rounding to the nearest whole number or any margin of error from methodological sources. Most online polls—because of their opt-in method of recruiting panellists which results in a non-random sample—cannot have a margin of error. In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based sample of equivalent size.

Refers to the total sample size, including undecided and non-voters.

"Telephone" refers to traditional telephone polls conducted by live interviewers; "IVR" refers to automated Interactive Voice Response polls conducted by telephone; "online" refers to polls conducted exclusively over the internet; "telephone/online" refers to polls which combine results from both telephone and online surveys, or for which respondents are initially recruited by telephone and then asked to complete an online survey.

Poll was conducted using the riding boundaries that existed before the 2022 Canadian federal electoral redistribution was implemented.

References