my-server
← Wiki

Opinion polling for the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election

In the run-up to the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election which is expected to be held on 12 April 2026, various organizations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Hungary. The results of such polls are displayed in this article.

Pollster bias

Pollsters

The following table displays the pollsters in alphabetical order which have alleged funding and/or links to political parties:

Allegations and attacks against pollsters

In the run-up to the election, pro-Fidesz figures accused pollsters of undermining the government by publishing fake numbers. In August 2025, , head of the (SZH), claimed that some pollsters (21 Kutatóközpont, IDEA, Medián, Publicus, and Republikon) that were showing leads for Tisza were "abusing" public opinion research and carrying out "foreign assignments". To evidence his claims, he pointed to an investigation conducted by the SZH, which has been criticised as "politically charged", as well as untrue.

Differences in polling figures

Significant differences have been noted by the Hungarian media in the numbers produced by different polling companies. In January 2026, political scientist Gábor Török observed that the large differences between government- and non-government-affiliated pollsters was a new phenomenon in Hungarian politics. He suggested that the differences as they stood a few months out from the election were "unexplainable on research grounds".

2022 polling

The 2022 Hungarian election results showed that Fidesz outperformed polls.

Graphical summary

Total

The graph displays the results of the polls. Those who responded "don't know" are removed, where relevant. The following graph displays a local regression of all polls.

By affiliation

The following two graphs present the polls that are government-aligned, or independent/opposition-aligned, respectively as per the table above.

<div style="text-align:center;"> </div>

Polling

The following table outlines the results of polls where voters where asked how they would vote in the upcoming election. The numbers correspond to the percentage of party voters saying they will vote for a particular party; as such, undecided responses are removed. Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. Any party which was not polled is displayed with an en-dash (–). Other parties in bold are expected to pass the threshold (5% for one party, 10% for a joint list of two parties, and 15% for a joint list of three or more parties) to be represented in the National Assembly. As polling is only done among Hungarian residents, but the threshold is calculated based on all list votes, (opposition) parties are expected to need about 5.25% of the domestic vote share when considering diaspora voters, who previously have voted in large margins for Fidesz.

2026 election period

2024–2026

2022–2024

Coalition scenario polling

The following table outlines that the former United for Hungary parties would run in an alliance again in the next election. The numbers correspond to the percentage of party voters saying they will vote for a particular party; as such, undecided responses are removed. The same formatting as the main polling table applies.

Seat projections

The table includes the chances of each party and minority (German and Romani) organizations mandate gain, referring to the percentage results of various polls. Other parties in bold are represented in the National Assembly. 100 seats in the National Assembly are needed for a majority, while 133 seats are needed for a two-thirds supermajority to amend the Constitution of Hungary. According to the electoral rules, a party must obtain at least 5 seats to establish a political group, which is guaranteed if it passes the threshold in party list. For two-party alliances it must have at least 10 seats and for three or more party alliances it must have at least 15 seats, but if a member party obtain less than 5 seats, it is unable to form a group, however its politicians can either serve as Independent MP or join to another group. All of the 13 ethnic minorities can win one of the 93 party lists seats if they register as a specific list and reach a lowered quota of 0.27% of the total of party list votes.

Regional polling

This section includes poll results conducted in particular regions and cities.

Budapest

Budapest VIII.

Budapest XIV.

Debrecen

Győr

Diaspora polling

This section includes poll results conducted in particular outside of Hungary.

Electoral district polling

This section includes poll results conducted in particular constituencies. Due to the boundaries of some constituencies changing, the results do not include the previous elections in some places as, where they have been changed, they are not comparable.

Bács-Kiskun OEVK 3

Baranya OEVK 1

Békés OEVK 3

Borsod-Abaúj-Zemplén OEVK 5

Budapest OEVK 4

Budapest OEVK 6

Budapest OEVK 13

Budapest OEVK 14

Csongrád-Csanád OEVK 2

Jász-Nagykun-Szolnok OEVK 2

Pest OEVK 13

Szabolcs-Szatmár-Bereg OEVK 1

Szabolcs-Szatmár-Bereg OEVK 5

Vas OEVK 1

Prime Minister polling

Hungary

The following table outlines the preferred Prime Minister amongst Hungarians.

Diaspora

The following table outlines the preferred Prime Minister among the Hungarian diaspora.

Suitability as Prime Minister

The following table outlines the perceived suitability of party leaders to be Prime Minister.

Viktor Orbán

Péter Magyar

Klára Dobrev

Viktor Orbán's further possible premiership

The following table outlines Orbán's position after the next election.

Notes

References

External links