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Opinion polling for the 2021 Israeli legislative election

In the run up to the 2021 Israeli legislative election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Israel during the term of the 23rd Knesset. This article lists the results of such polls.

The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous election, held on 2 March 2020, to the present day. Due to the political deadlock which resulted after the previous election, and the possibility of a fourth consecutive snap election, polling for the 2021 election started 10 days after the previous election. The election is scheduled on 23 March 2021. No polls may be published from the end of the Friday before the election (19 March in this case) until the polling stations close on election day at 22:00.

Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the highest figures. When a poll has no information on a certain party, that party is instead marked by a dash (–).

Seat projections

This section displays voting intention estimates referring to the 2021 Knesset election. The figures listed are Knesset seat counts rather than percentages, unless otherwise stated.

Polling graph

This graph shows the polling trends from the 2 March 2020 Israeli legislative election. Scenario polls are not included here.

For parties not crossing the electoral threshold (currently 3.25%) in any given poll, the number of seats is calculated as a percentage of the 120 total seats. Labor-Meretz-Gesher and Labor-Meretz are shown as Labor before the splits; Yesh Atid-Telem is shown as Yesh Atid before the split.

Polls

Poll results are listed in the table below. Parties that fall below the electoral threshold of 3.25% are denoted by the percentage of votes that they received (N%), rather than the number of seats they would have gotten.

61 seats are required for a majority in the Knesset.

Legend
Legend

61 seats are required for a majority in the Knesset.

Note: The composition of the current government does not necessarily determine the exact makeup of the post-election government.

Scenario polls

Most often, opinion polling about hypothetical scenarios is done in the same survey as for the regular polling. This is why these scenario polls are paired for comparison purposes.

Labor, The Israelis & Tnufa merger
Religious Zionist Party, The Jewish Home & Otzma Yehudit merger and Ra'am split from the Joint List
Religious Zionist Party, Otzma Yehudit & Noam merger and Joint List reunification
Labor & Israelis merger and Joint List reunification
Religious Zionist Party & The Jewish Home merger and Joint List reunification
Labor, The Israelis, Tnufa, New Economic Party & Telem merger
Yesh Atid & The Israelis merger
Yamina-New Hope merger
Religious Zionist Party, The Jewish Home & Otzma Yehudit merger
The Israelis & Labor merger
Tzipi Livni joining Yesh Atid and The Israelis, Labor, Telem & Tnufa merger
Religious Zionist Party & Otzma Yehudit merger
Labor with The Israelis, Yesh Atid, Blue & White, New Economic Party and Tnufa
Ehud Barak leading Labor
Yesh Atid-Telem & The Israelis merger and New Hope & Yamina merger
Religious Zionist Party split from Yamina
Yesh Atid-Telem & The Israelis merger
Labor with The Israelis, Yesh Atid, Meretz and Ofer Shelah
Labor with Ofer Shelah, Ron Huldai and Avi Nissenkorn
Blue and White without Benny Gantz and Gabi Ashkenazi
Ron Huldai party and Ra'am split from Joint List
Ron Huldai party
Gadi Eizenkot joining New Hope
Ron Huldai, Gadi Eizenkot & Moshe Ya'alon party
Blue and White & Yesh Atid-Telem reunification
Gadi Eizenkot & Yifat Shasha-Biton joining New Hope
Ron Huldai joining Yesh Atid-Telem
Gadi Eizenkot & Ron Huldai party
Gadi Eizenkot party
Gadi Eizenkot & Ron Huldai party and Yifat Shasha-Biton party
Yifat Shasha-Biton party
Ofer Shelah leading Yesh Atid
Gabi Ashkenazi leading Blue & White
Gadi Eizenkot leading Blue & White
party

Prime minister

Due to the political deadlock, Shas chairman and Interior Minister Aryeh Deri suggested direct elections for prime minister. Some opinion pollsters have asked voters which party leader they would prefer as prime minister. Their responses are given as percentages in the graphs and tables below.

Graphs

Included below are polls including Netanyahu, Lapid, Gantz and Bennet. Only such polls which distinguish undecided voters from those who support other candidates affect the "None" and "Don't know" values.

This graph shows the polling trends from the 2 March 2020 Israeli legislative election until the next election day using 4-poll moving average.

Polls

Various candidates
Netanyahu vs. Sa'ar
Netanyahu vs. Lapid
Netanyahu vs. Bennett
Netanyahu vs. Gantz
Netanyahu vs. Huldai
Netanyahu vs. Eizenkot

Coalition

Some opinion pollsters have asked voters which coalition they would prefer. The tables below list their responses as percentages.

Minority government backed by the Joint List
General

Notes

References