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Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 Republican Party presidential primaries

This article lists statewide public opinion polls conducted relating to the 2008 Republican Party presidential primaries, typically using standard statistical methodology.

Candidates

The known candidates with national campaigns are John McCain, and Ron Paul, and Withdrawn candidates include Jim Gilmore, Tommy Thompson, Sam Brownback, John H. Cox, Tom Tancredo, Duncan Hunter, Fred Thompson, Rudy Giuliani, Alan Keyes and Mitt Romney. Candidates who declined to seek the nomination include George Allen, Jeb Bush, Dick Cheney, Bill Frist, Newt Gingrich, Chuck Hagel, Condoleezza Rice, Mark Sanford, and Rick Santorum. One candidate included in some polls who said nothing either way, and did not enter the race is George Pataki.

On March 4, 2008, John McCain received enough pledged delegates to receive a majority at the convention and became the presumptive nominee of the GOP in the general election.

Polling

Alabama

Alabama Winner: Mike Huckabee<br /> Primary Date: February 5, 2008<br />See also <br />

Alaska

Alaska Winner: Mitt Romney Primary Date: February 5, 2008<br />

Arizona

Arizona Winner: John McCain<br /> Primary Date: February 5, 2008<br />See also <br />

Arkansas

Arkansas Winner: Mike Huckabee<br /> Primary Date: February 5, 2008<br />See also <br />

California

California Winner: John McCain<br /> Primary Date: February 5, 2008<br /> See also

Colorado

Colorado Winner: Mitt Romney<br /> Caucus Date: February 5, 2008<br />See also <br />

Connecticut

Connecticut Winner: John McCain<br /> Primary Date: February 5, 2008<br />See also<br />

Delaware

Delaware Winner: John McCain<br /> Primary Date: February 5, 2008<br />

District of Columbia

District of Columbia Winner: John McCain<br /> Primary Date: February 12, 2008<br />

Florida

Florida Winner: John McCain<br /> Primary Date: January 29, 2008

See also

Georgia

Georgia Winner: Mike Huckabee<br /> Primary Date: February 5, 2008<br />See also<br />

Idaho

Idaho Winner: John McCain<br /> Primary Date: May 27, 2008<br />

Illinois

Illinois Winner: John McCain<br /> Primary Date: February 5, 2008<br />See also <br />

Iowa

Iowa Winner: Mike Huckabee<br /> Caucus Date: January 3, 2008

See also

Kansas

Kansas Winner: Mike Huckabee<br /> Caucus Date: February 9, 2008<br />

Louisiana

Louisiana Winner: Mike Huckabee<br /> Primary Date February 9, 2008<br />

Maine

Maine Winner: Mitt Romney <br /> Caucus Dates: February 1–3, 2008<br />See also

Maryland

Maryland Winner: John McCain<br /> Primary Date: February 12, 2008<br />

Massachusetts

Massachusetts Winner: Mitt Romney<br /> Primary Date: February 5, 2008<br />See also <br />

Michigan

Michigan Winner: Mitt Romney<br /> Primary Date: January 15, 2008<br /> <br /> See also

Minnesota

Minnesota Winner: Mitt Romney<br /> Caucus Date: February 5, 2008<br />

Missouri

Missouri Winner: John McCain<br /> Primary Date: February 5, 2008<br />See also <br />

Montana

Montana Winner: Mitt Romney<br /> Caucus Date: February 5, 2008<br />

Nevada

Nevada Winner: Mitt Romney<br /> Caucus Date: January 19, 2008

See also

New Hampshire

New Hampshire Winner: John McCain<br /> Primary Date: January 8, 2008

See also

New Jersey

New Jersey Winner: John McCain<br /> Primary Date: February 5, 2008<br /> <br />See also

New Mexico

New Mexico Winner: John McCain<br /> Primary Date: June 3, 2008<br />See also <br />

New York

New York Winner: John McCain<br /> Primary Date: February 5, 2008<br /> <br /> See also

North Carolina

North Carolina Winner: John McCain<br /> Primary Date: May 6, 2008<br />See also <br />

North Dakota

North Dakota Winner: Mitt Romney<br /> Caucus Date: February 5, 2008<br />

Ohio

Ohio Winner: John McCain<br /> Primary Date: March 4, 2008<br /> See also

Oklahoma

Oklahoma Winner: John McCain<br /> Primary Date: February 5, 2008<br />See also <br />

Oregon

Oregon Winner: To Be Determined Primary Date: May 20, 2008<br />

Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania Winner: John McCain<br /> Primary Date: Tuesday, April 22, 2008<br /> <br />See also

Rhode Island

Rhode Island Winner: John McCain<br /> Primary Date: March 4, 2008<br />See also <br />

South Carolina

South Carolina Winner: John McCain<br /> Primary Date: January 19, 2008

See also

Tennessee

Tennessee Winner: Mike Huckabee<br /> Primary Date: February 5, 2008<br />

Texas

Texas Winner: John McCain<br /> Primary Date: March 4, 2008<br />See also <br />

Utah

Utah Winner: Mitt Romney<br /> Primary Date: February 5, 2008<br />See also <br />

Vermont

Vermont Winner: John McCain<br /> Primary Date: March 4, 2008<br />See also <br />

Virginia

Virginia Winner: John McCain<br /> Primary Date: February 12, 2008<br />

Washington

Washington Winner: John McCain<br /> Caucus Date: February 9, 2008<br /> See also

West Virginia

West Virginia Winner: Mike Huckabee<br /> Caucus Date: February 5, 2008<br /> Primary Date: May 13, 2008<br />See also <br />

Wisconsin

Wisconsin Winner: John McCain<br /> Primary Date: February 19, 2008<br /> See also

Wyoming

Wyoming Winner: Mitt Romney<br /> Caucus Date: January 5, 2008<br />

Notes

Summary

Sources: National Association of Secretaries of State<br /> Using RCP averages when available

Current leaders

The race for the Republican nomination is decided upon how many delegates a candidate receives. In this section we see how many pledged delegates each candidate has received to date ranking from first place (the most delegates) to sixth place (the least delegates). To be nominated, a candidate must win an absolute majority of delegates, or 1,191 delegates.

₩- Means the candidate has won that particular state

  • According to local news reports, three of Mike Huckabee's delegates from West Virginia were promised to Ron Paul in exchange for support for Huckabee from Paul's caucus supporters in West Virginia.

All information comes from

Predicted results

The numbers in parentheses indicate the number of convention delegates awarded to each state. A simple majority of delegate votes (1,191 out of 2,381) is needed to secure the nomination.

The number of convention delegates in Wyoming, New Hampshire, Michigan, South Carolina, and Florida have been cut in half due to scheduling their primary earlier than February 5. Source

Notes:

  • "†" indicates a lead within the margin of error or a tie.
  • "╬" indicates a state where the top candidate has withdrawn from the race since the latest poll was conducted, thus the next most-supported active candidate is granted that state's delegates.
  • "₩" indicates a state where the primary/caucus has been conducted and a winner has been declared.
  • "§" indicates a state where the latest poll was conducted before January 1, 2008

See also

References

External links