The following is the pre-election pendulum for the 2023 New South Wales state election. It is based on notional margins calculated by the ABC's Antony Green. Members in italics did not contest the election as a candidate for the seat they currently held or its replacement. However, the incumbent member for Holsworthy Melanie Gibbons contested the seat of Kiama. By-elections were held in some seats during this term of Parliament that changed their margins. See the footnotes for details. <section begin="pendulum"/>
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