Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election is carried out continually by various organisations to gauge voting intention. Politics and polling in Scotland often have a different dynamic to the rest of the UK, and polling companies undertake separate polling in Scotland: results of such polls are displayed in this article. The polling companies listed are all members of the British Polling Council (unless noted) all abide by its disclosure rules. The dates of these opinion polls range from the previous general election on 4 July 2024 to the present.
The next UK general election must be held no later than 15 August 2029 under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022. The act mandates that any Parliament automatically dissolves five years after it first met â unless it is dissolved earlier at the request of the prime minister â and polling day occurs no more than 25 working days later.
This section captures data from UK wide polls that have a Scottish sub-samples; these have very small sample sizes and should be viewed with caution as the statistical margin of error will be in the region of ñ10%. The statistical margin of error for a full poll with a sample size of 1000 is typically ñ3%. Additional uncertainty arises from the fact that sub-samples may not be correctly weighted to account for demographic variations (age, gender, previous voting intention etc.).
This table shows the number of MPs predicted to be returned from in Scotland using MRP polling,