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Opinion polling for the 2007 French presidential election

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2007 French presidential election, which was held on 22 April 2007 with a run-off on 6 May 2007.

Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polling commission (Commission nationale des sondages) and utilize the quota method.

First round

During the 2007 presidential election, Ipsos launched the first ever rolling poll in France, described as a "continuous electoral barometer", publishing results every day of the week except Sunday for ten weeks starting on 1 March 2007. The Ifop poll conducted from 23 to 26 February 2007, marked with an asterisk (*) below, was conducted specifically for subsample data.

The publication of first-round polls was prohibited after midnight on 20 April 2007. The TNS Sofres poll conducted from 20 to 21 April was an internal survey which was not distributed during the electoral silence.

Graphical summary

The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the six major French pollsters. The graphs are smoothed 14-day weighted moving averages, using only the most recent poll conducted by any given pollster within that range (each poll weighted based on recency).

On 6 November 2006, Jean-Pierre Chevènement announced his candidacy in the presidential election, before withdrawing just a month later on 10 December 2006 after concluding an agreement with the Socialist Party (PS) for an alliance in the subsequent legislative elections. On 7 November, Nicolas Hulot launched an appeal to candidates to commit to an "Ecological Pact", but affirmed that he would on 22 January 2007 that he would not stand as a candidate in the election. In an interview published on 28 December 2006, Michèle Alliot-Marie evoked the possibility of a candidacy without the support of her party, having recently founded the think tank "Le Chêne"; however, she ultimately announced her support for Nicolas Sarkozy on 12 January 2007. In an interview published on 11 March, Corinne Lepage announced that she would back François Bayrou despite having "the capacity" to obtain the 500 sponsorships necessary to be a candidate. In an interview published on 17 March, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan announced that he had failed to gather enough sponsorships to stand in the election. Jacques Chirac announced on 11 March that he would not seek a third term, before finally backing the candidacy of Sarkozy on 21 March.

Because the TNS Sofres poll conducted from 20 to 21 April was not published during the electoral silence, it is not included in the average below.

Official campaign

17 November 2006 to 19 March 2007

17 July to 16 November 2006

16 May to 16 July 2006

12 February 2005 to 15 May 2006

By region

Nord-Pas-de-Calais
Provence-Alpes-Côte-d'Azur
Provence-Alpes-Côte-d'Azur and Languedoc-Roussillon
Corsica
La Réunion

By department

Alpes-de-Haute-Provence, Hautes-Alpes, and Vaucluse
Alpes-Maritimes, Bouches-du-Rhône, and Var

By commune

Aix-en-Provence
Avignon
Marseille
Nice
Toulon

Second round

During the 2007 presidential election, Ipsos launched the first ever rolling poll in France, described as a "continuous electoral barometer", publishing results every day of the week except Sunday for ten weeks starting on 1 March 2007. The Ifop poll conducted from 23 to 26 February 2007, marked with an asterisk (*) below, was conducted specifically for subsample data.

The publication of second-round polls was prohibited after midnight on 4 May 2007.

Graphical summary

The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the six major French pollsters. The graphs are 14-day weighted moving averages, using only the most recent poll conducted by any given pollster within that range (each poll weighted based on recency).

Royal–Sarkozy

By region

Nord-Pas-de-Calais
Provence-Alpes-Côte-d'Azur
Provence-Alpes-Côte-d'Azur and Languedoc-Roussillon
Corsica
La Réunion

By department

Alpes-de-Haute-Provence, Hautes-Alpes, and Vaucluse
Alpes-Maritimes, Bouches-du-Rhône, and Var
Ariège, Aveyron, Haute-Garonne, Gers, Lot, Hautes-Pyrénées, Tarn, Tarn-et-Garonne, Aude, and Lot-et-Garonne

The BVA poll was conducted for La Dépêche du Midi in the 10 departments where the newspaper is circulated, of which eight are in the Midi-Pyrénées region (Ariège, Aveyron, Haute-Garonne, Gers, Lot, Hautes-Pyrénées, Tarn, and Tarn-et-Garonne), as well as Aude and Lot-et-Garonne.

By commune

Aix-en-Provence
Avignon
Marseille
Nice
Toulon

Bayrou–Sarkozy

By region

Nord-Pas-de-Calais
La Réunion

Royal–Bayrou

By region

Nord-Pas-de-Calais
La Réunion

Sarkozy–Le Pen

By region

Provence-Alpes-Côte-d'Azur

By department

Alpes-de-Haute-Provence, Hautes-Alpes, and Vaucluse
Alpes-Maritimes, Bouches-du-Rhône, and Var

By commune

Royal–Le Pen

By region

Provence-Alpes-Côte-d'Azur

By department

Alpes-de-Haute-Provence, Hautes-Alpes, and Vaucluse
Alpes-Maritimes, Bouches-du-Rhône, and Var

By commune

Bayrou–Le Pen

Royal–Chirac

By region

Provence-Alpes-Côte-d'Azur and Languedoc-Roussillon

Chirac–Le Pen

Strauss-Kahn–Sarkozy

Fabius–Sarkozy

Royal–Villepin

By region

La Réunion

Royal–Alliot-Marie

Jospin–Sarkozy

By region

La Réunion

Lang–Sarkozy

Hollande–Sarkozy

Jospin–Villepin

By region

La Réunion

Strauss-Kahn–Villepin

Fabius–Villepin

Hollande–Villepin

Emmanuelli–Sarkozy

Emmanuelli–Villepin

Fabius–Chirac

Jospin–Chirac

Hollande–Chirac

See also

References

External links