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Opinion polling for the 2023 Dutch general election

In the run-up to the 2023 Dutch general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in the Netherlands. Results of such polls are displayed in this list.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the 2021 Dutch general election, held on 15–17 March, to election day. The next election was scheduled for March 2025, but, due to the fall of the fourth Rutte cabinet, took place on 22 November 2023. Four main pollsters performed opinion polls on voting intentions in the Netherlands, these being: I&O Research, Ipsos, Kantar and Peil.nl. Peil.nl does not give percentages, only showing seats while the other pollsters do include percentages.

Projections

Graphical summary

The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the four major Dutch pollsters. The trendlines show local regressions representing seat totals (not vote percentages).

Seats

There are 150 seats in total, 76 seats are needed for a majority. Parties are denoted with a dash if no indication is given of their level in the polls.

Vote share

Hypothetical scenarios

GroenLinks and PvdA merge into a single left-wing party

Pieter Omtzigt joins BBB

Pieter Omtzigt has stated he would not join BBB.

Pieter Omtzigt returns to CDA

Pieter Omtzigt has stated he would not return to CDA.

Pieter Omtzigt's party

This scenario occurred on 19 August when Omtzigt founded the New Social Contract party.

See also

Notes

References