This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the general election for the 2024 United States presidential election. Those named in the polls were declared candidates or had received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
Polling aggregation
The following head-to-head polls feature some of the individuals who officially declared their candidacies. The incumbent president, Joe Biden, won the Democratic primaries. On July 21, 2024, Biden withdrew from the race and immediately endorsed his vice president, Kamala Harris, who shortly thereafter became the official nominee of the Democratic Party.
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
<div>
<li style="display: inline-block;"></li><li style="display: inline-block;"> </li> <li style="display: inline-block;"> </li> </div>
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver vs. Cornel West
National poll results
National poll results among declared candidates.
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
2024
2023
2022
2021
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Hypothetical polling
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
The following nationwide polls feature Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who is an independent candidate who suspended his campaign and endorsed Donald Trump.
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
The following nationwide polls feature Joe Biden, who was the presumptive nominee for the Democratic party before he withdrew from the race and endorsed Kamala Harris.
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump (2024)
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump (2023)
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump (2022)
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump (2021)
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Chase Oliver vs. Jill Stein
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
Undeclared and generic candidates
The following nationwide polls feature at least one individual who is not a candidate for president, nor have they declined the possibility of a future campaign, as well as unnamed "generic" party candidates. Some candidates listed as "Independent" below do have a political party affiliation, but the poll was conducted on the hypothetical that they ran an independent campaign outside their party's nomination process.
Joe Biden vs. Liz Cheney
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump with Liz Cheney as an independent
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Nikki Haley as an independent
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Nikki Haley as an independent vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Nikki Haley as an independent vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs Cornel West as an independent
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Mark Cuban vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein vs. Cornel West
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Andrew Yang
Joe Biden vs. Chris Christie
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis with Donald Trump as an independent
Joe Biden vs. Vivek Ramaswamy
Joe Biden vs. Mitt Romney
Joe Biden vs. Tom Cotton
Joe Biden vs. Josh Hawley
Joe Biden vs. Larry Hogan
Joe Biden vs. Ted Cruz
Joe Biden vs. Kristi Noem
Joe Biden vs. Mike Pence
Joe Biden vs. Mike Pompeo
Joe Biden vs. Marco Rubio
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Joe Biden vs. Rick Scott
Joe Biden vs. Tim Scott
Joe Biden vs. generic Republican
Donald Trump vs. generic Democrat
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. generic Libertarian vs. generic Green vs. generic No Labels
Kamala Harris vs. Ron DeSantis
Kamala Harris vs. JD Vance
Kamala Harris vs. Mike Pence
Kamala Harris vs. Mike Pompeo
Kamala Harris vs. Tim Scott
Kamala Harris vs. Nikki Haley
Al Gore vs. Donald Trump
Michelle Obama vs. Donald Trump
Michelle Obama vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
Pete Buttigieg vs. Donald Trump
Hillary Clinton vs. Donald Trump
Cory Booker vs. Donald Trump
Amy Klobuchar vs. Donald Trump
Joe Manchin vs. Donald Trump
Bernie Sanders vs. Donald Trump
Elizabeth Warren vs. Donald Trump
Andy Beshear vs. Donald Trump
Phil Murphy vs. Donald Trump
Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump
Gavin Newsom vs. Ron DeSantis
JB Pritzker vs. Donald Trump
Josh Shapiro vs. Donald Trump
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump with Joe Manchin as an independent
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis with Joe Manchin as an independent
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. with Joe Manchin as an independent
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West with Joe Manchin as No Labels Party
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Manchin as an independent vs. Jill Stein
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Joe Manchin as No Labels vs. Jill Stein
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Joe Manchin as No Labels vs. Jill Stein vs. Lars Mapstead
Jerome Segal vs. Donald Trump
Limitations
While national polls give important signals on the views of the electorate, the winner of the election is determined by the United States Electoral College, so the level of support for each candidate in each state is important. This is gauged by state-by-state polling.
Poll results can be affected by methodology, especially in how they predict who will vote in the next election, and re-weighting answers to compensate for slightly non-random samples. One technique, "weighting on recalled vote" is an attempt to compensate for previous underestimates of votes for Donald Trump by rebalancing the sample based on last vote. This can introduce new errors if voters misstate their previous votes. When used for the 2024 presidential election it had produced results closer to the 2020 presidential election than the 2022 mid-term election.
See also
Notes
References
External links