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2025 Newfoundland and Labrador general election

The 2025 Newfoundland and Labrador general election was held on October 14, 2025, to elect members to the 51st General Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador.

In a major upset, Tony Wakeham led the Progressive Conservatives to a majority government for the first time since 2011. With a popular vote share of 44.4%, the PCs won the smallest winning vote share of any majority government in Newfoundland and Labrador's electoral history.

Background

Following the announcement of a new memorandum of understanding with Quebec regarding the Churchill Falls power plant on December 12, 2024, there was speculation by local journalists that Premier Andrew Furey would call an election sometime in early 2025. However, Furey unexpectedly announced his resignation on February 25, 2025, effective upon the election of his successor. John Hogan won the subsequent Liberal leadership election that May.

Premier Hogan requested Lieutenant Governor Joan Marie Aylward issue the writs of election on September 15, 2025. Every party represented in the assembly had elected a new leader since the 2021 election.

Former NDP leader Alison Coffin ran as an independent candidate in both Carbonear-Trinity-Bay de Verde and Harbour Grace-Port de Grave on a platform of election reform. She was the first person since Henry Renouf in the 1869 Newfoundland general election to run in more than one riding.

Standings at dissolution

Incumbents not standing for re-election

Timeline

Changes in MHAs/seats held between elections

Campaign

Issues in the election included the Churchill Falls memorandum of understanding, the cost-of-living, crime, healthcare, and housing. The leaders' debate was held on October 8, with the NDP's Dinn, Liberals' Hogan, and PC's Wakeham all invited. The CBC's Carolyn Stokes hosted.

Party slogans

Results by district

  • Names in boldface type represent party leaders.
  • † indicates that the incumbent is not seeking re-election.

St. John's

|- | style="background:whitesmoke;"| Mount Scio<br>40.70% turnout || |Sarah Stoodley<br>2,006<br>46.13% | | Darrell Hynes<br>1,551<br>35.66% | |Laurabel Mba<br>792<br>18.21% || |Sarah Stoodley |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|St. John's Centre<br>39.46% turnout | |Gemma Hickey<br>1,003<br>26.00% | |Ben Duggan<br>457<br>11.85% || |Jim Dinn<br>2,398<br>62.16% || |Jim Dinn |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|St. John's East-Quidi Vidi<br>52.44% turnout | |John Whelan<br>2,458<br>42.50% | |Alex Edwards-Cepovski<br>440<br>7.61% || |Sheilagh O'Leary<br>2,886<br>49.90% || |Vacant |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|St. John's West<br>45.05% turnout || |Keith White<br>2,354<br>53.77% | |Kristina Ennis<br>1,472<br>33.62% | |Marius Normore<br>552<br>12.61% || |Siobhan Coady†|- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Virginia Waters-Pleasantville<br>51.30% turnout || |Bernard Davis<br>3,366<br>61.97% | |G. Patrick Condon<br>986<br>18.15% | |Raj Sharan<br>1,080<br>19.88% || |Bernard Davis |- |style="background-color:whitesmoke"|Waterford Valley<br>49.11% turnout || |Jamie Korab<br>2,527<br>47.20% | |David Thomlyn<br>1,467<br>27.40% | |Nicole Boland<br>1,360<br>25.40% || |Jamie Korab |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Windsor Lake<br>47.53% turnout || |John Hogan<br>3,424<br>69.27% | |Deanne Stapleton<br>1,052<br>21.28% | |Marcia Porter<br>467<br>9.45% || |John Hogan

St. John's suburbs

|- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Cape St. Francis<br>57.83% turnout | |Kara Connors<br>2,457<br>39.39% || |Joedy Wall<br>3,388<br>54.32% | | Greg Rockwood<br>392<br>6.29% | | || |Joedy Wall |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Conception Bay East–Bell Island<br>48.76% turnout || |Fred Hutton<br>3,730<br>57.23% | |Tina Neary<br>2,285<br>35.06% | |Henry House<br>503<br>7.72% | | || |Fred Hutton |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Conception Bay South<br>48.95% turnout | |Ken McDonald<br>2,043<br>37.75% || |Barry Petten<br>3,060<br>56.54% | |Rhonda Watkins<br>309<br>5.71% | | || |Barry Petten |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Mount Pearl North<br>45.19% turnout || |Lucy Stoyles<br>3,038<br>58.41% | |Jim Lester<br>1,733<br>33.32% | |Donn Sears<br>430<br>8.27% | | || |Lucy Stoyles |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Mount Pearl-Southlands<br>53.98% turnout | |Sarah Furlong<br>1,682<br>28.38% | |Bryan Robbins<br>666<br>11.24% | |Brenda Walsh<br>217<br>3.66% || |Paul Lane<br>3,361<br>56.72% || |Paul Lane |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Topsail-Paradise<br>50.74% turnout | |Dan Bobbett<br>2,923<br>46.35% || |Paul Dinn<br>3,029<br>48.03% | |Tyler Bourne<br>354<br>5.61% | | || |Paul Dinn

Avalon Peninsula

|- |rowspan=2 style="background:whitesmoke;"|Carbonear-Trinity-Bay de Verde<br>63.91% turnout |rowspan=2| |rowspan=2|Danielle Doyle<br>3,085<br>44.49% |rowspan=2 | |rowspan=2|Riley Balsom<br>3,459<br>49.88% |rowspan=2| |rowspan=2|Kathleen Burt<br>242<br>3.49% | |Alison Coffin<br>134<br>1.93% |rowspan=2 | |rowspan=2|Steve Crocker†|- | |Edward Thomas Cole<br>15<br>0.22% |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Ferryland<br>61.49% turnout | |Cheryl O'Brien<br>2,904<br>43.64% || |Loyola O'Driscoll<br>3,507<br>52.71% | |Josh Meadus<br>243<br>3.65% | | || |Loyola O'Driscoll |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Harbour Grace-Port de Grave<br>58.14% turnout || |Pam Parsons<br>3,750<br>59.20% | |Walter Yetman<br>2,241<br>35.38% | |Darian Vincent<br>110<br>1.74% | |Alison Coffin<br>233<br>3.68% || |Pam Parsons |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Harbour Main<br>58.00% turnout | |Don Lewis<br>2,297<br>33.58% || |Helen Conway-Ottenheimer<br>4,187<br>61.21% | |Dion Hynes<br>263<br>3.85% | |Clem Whittle<br>93<br>1.36% || |Helen Conway-Ottenheimer |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Placentia-St. Mary's<br>66.74% turnout || |Sherry Gambin-Walsh<br>2,973<br>49.91% | |Rhonda Power<br>2,470<br>41.46% | |Douglas Meggison<br>176<br>2.95% | |Philip Gardiner<br>338<br>5.67% || |Sherry Gambin-Walsh

Eastern Newfoundland

|- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Bonavista<br>52.67% turnout | |Heather Matthews<br>1,037<br>22.79% || |Craig Pardy<br>3,260<br>71.65% | |David Ellis<br>253<br>5.56% || |Craig Pardy |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Burin-Grand Bank<br>57.43% turnout || |Paul Pike<br>2,437<br>49.11% | |Jamie Engram<br>2,384<br>48.05% | |Tori Locke<br>141<br>2.84% || |Paul Pike |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Placentia West-Bellevue<br>58.48% turnout | |Brian Keating<br>2,577<br>45.97% || |Jeff Dwyer<br>2,641<br>47.11% | | Jasmine Paul<br>388<br>6.92% || |Jeff Dwyer |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Terra Nova<br>56.86% turnout | | Greg French<br>1,704<br>29.33% || |Lloyd Parrott<br>3,875<br>66.70% | |Melanie Adams<br>231<br>3.98% || |Lloyd Parrott

Central Newfoundland

|- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Baie Verte-Green Bay<br>50.37% turnout | |Owen Burt<br>1,013<br>20.69% || |Lin Paddock<br>3,643<br>74.42% | |Sarah Hillier<br>239<br>4.88% | | || |Lin Paddock |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Exploits<br>57.96% turnout | |Fabian Power<br>2,019<br>36.15% || |Pleaman Forsey<br>3,406<br>60.98% | |Dawn Lahey<br>160<br>2.86% | | || |Pleaman Forsey |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Fogo Island-Cape Freels<br>49.09% turnout | |Dale Lewis<br>2,208<br>43.96% || |Jim McKenna<br>2,602<br>51.80% | |Albert Murphy<br>69<br>1.37% | |Garry Leyte<br>144<br>2.87% || |Jim McKenna |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Fortune Bay-Cape La Hune<br>54.90% turnout || |Elvis Loveless<br>1,842<br>65.95% | |Ada John<br>903<br>32.33% | |Eamon Carew<br>48<br>1.72% | | || |Elvis Loveless |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Gander<br>49.60% turnout || |Bettina Ford<br>3,063<br>58.29% | |Tom Healey<br>2,054<br>39.09% | |Justin Foley<br>138<br>2.63% | | || |John Haggie†|- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Grand Falls-Windsor-Buchans<br>57.43% turnout | |Barry Manuel<br>2,144<br>37.09% || |Chris Tibbs<br>3,408<br>58.95% | |Liz Noseworthy<br>229<br>3.96% | | || |Chris Tibbs |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Lewisporte-Twillingate<br>53.29% turnout | |Derek Bennett<br>2,552<br>48.95% || |Mark Butt<br>2,570<br>49.30% | |Steven Kent<br>76<br>1.46% | |Stacy Coish<br>15<br>0.29% || |Derek Bennett

Western Newfoundland

|- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Burgeo-La Poile<br>53.14% turnout || |Michael King<br>2,001<br>59.84% | |Victoria Young<br>1,259<br>37.65% | |Judy Vanta<br>84<br>2.51% | | || |Vacant |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Corner Brook<br>39.20% turnout || |Jim Parsons<br>2,347<br>56.94% | |Charles Pender<br>1,420<br>34.45% | |Jean Graham<br>355<br>8.61% | | || |Gerry Byrne†|- |style="background:whitesmoke;"|Humber-Bay of Islands<br>49.89% turnout | |Meghan Parsons<br>735<br>15.44% | |Ethan Wheeler-Park<br>514<br>10.80% | |Collin Glavac<br>77<br>1.62% || |Eddie Joyce<br>3,433<br>72.14% || |Eddie Joyce |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Humber-Gros Morne<br>57.78% turnout | |Helen Reid<br>2,093<br>37.52% || |Mike Goosney<br>3,238<br>58.05% | |Rebecca Brushett<br>247<br>4.43% | | || |Vacant |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|St. Barbe-L'Anse aux Meadows<br>56.74% turnout | |Krista Howell<br>2,001<br>42.55% || |Andrea Barbour<br>2,596<br>55.20% | |Beth Ryan<br>106<br>2.25% | | || |Krista Howell |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|St. George's-Humber<br>55.10% turnout | |Mark Lamswood<br>2,366<br>45.31% || |Hal Cormier<br>2,648<br>50.71% | |Jim McKeown<br>208<br>3.98% | | || |Scott Reid†|- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Stephenville-Port au Port<br>53.29% turnout | |Jeff Young<br>1,044<br>20.85% || |Tony Wakeham<br>3,820<br>76.29% | |Susan Jarvis<br>143<br>2.86% | | || |Tony Wakeham

Labrador

|- |style="background:whitesmoke;"|Cartwright-L'Anse au Clair<br>54.48% turnout || |Lisa Dempster<br>789<br>53.75% | |Nina Rumbolt-Pye<br>641<br>43.66% | |Patricia Bailey<br>38<br>2.59% || |Lisa Dempster |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Labrador West<br>53.19% turnout | |Todd Seward<br>1,364<br>39.34% || |Joseph Power<br>1,639<br>47.27% | |Shazia Razi<br>464<br>13.38% || |Vacant |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Lake Melville<br>45.30% turnout | |Shaun Maclean<br>1,280<br>41.29% || |Keith Russell<br>1,718<br>55.42% | |Jamie Ruby<br>102<br>3.29% || |Perry Trimper†|- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Torngat Mountains<br>40.95% turnout | |Tony Powell<br>29<br>3.23% || |Lela Evans<br>859<br>95.66% | |MK Morris<br>10<br>1.11% || |Lela Evans

Opinion polling

Results

The election resulted in a majority government for the Progressive Conservatives. The incumbent Liberals had been in government for 10 years.

|- style="background:#ccc;" ! rowspan="2" colspan="2" style="text-align:center;"|Political party ! rowspan="2" style="text-align:center;"|Party leader !rowspan="2"|<span style="font-size: 80%;">Candidates</span> ! colspan="4" style="text-align:center;"|MHAs !colspan="3" style="text-align:center;"|Popular vote |- style="background:#cccc;" | style="text-align:center;"|2021 | style="text-align:center;"|Diss. | style="text-align:center;"|2025 | style="text-align:center;"|± | style="text-align:center;"|# | style="text-align:center;"|% | style="text-align:center;"|± (pp)

|align=left|Tony Wakeham |align="right"|40 |align="right"|13 |align="right"|14 |align="right"|21 |align="right"|7 |align="right"|88,548 |align="right"|44.37% |align="right"|5.57

|align=left|John Hogan |align="right"|40 |align="right"|22 |align="right"|19 |align="right"|15 |align="right"|4 |align="right"|86,665 |align="right"|43.43% |align="right"|4.81

|align=left|Jim Dinn |align="right"|40 |align="right"|2 |align="right"|1 |align="right"|2 |align="right"|1 |align="right"|16,580 |align="right"|8.31% |align="right"|0.29

|colspan="2" align="left"|Independent |align="right"|9 |align="right"|3 |align="right"|2 |align="right"|2 |align="right"| |align="right"|7,766 |align="right"|3.89% |align="right"|0.73 |- style="background:#EAECF0;" | style="text-align:left;" colspan="3"|Total | style="text-align:right;"|129 | style="text-align:right;"|40 | style="text-align:right;"|40 | style="text-align:right;"|40 | style="text-align:right;"| | style="text-align:right;"|199,559 | style="text-align:right;"|100% | style="text-align:right;"|–

Synopsis of results

= open seat
= winning candidate was in previous Legislature
= incumbent had switched allegiance
= not incumbent; was previously elected to the Legislature
= incumbency arose from byelection gain
= previously incumbent in another riding
= other incumbents renominated
= previously an MP in the House of Commons of Canada
= multiple candidates

Winning shares and swings

Changes in party vote shares

= did not field a candidate in 2021

Relative party strengths (measured by swing)

Seats changing hands

Student vote results

The Student Vote elections were run by CIVIX and Elections Newfoundland and Labrador, and do not affect the actual elections. 123 schools participated and delivered a result of a majority government for the Progressive Conservatives, with 23 seats, 12 seats for the Liberals, 2 for the NDP, 2 Independent seats and 1 Non-affiliated.

Notes

References

Opinion poll sources