The 2024 United States presidential election in Nevada took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states, plus the District of Columbia, participated. Nevada voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Nevada has six electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census, in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.
Despite Donald Trump, who ran under the Republican banner a third consecutive time, not carrying Nevada in either of his past two presidential campaigns, polling in the state showed him in a strong position to win the state against Joe Biden, with Trump leading Biden in all major polls on Nevada's voting intention from October 2023 until Biden's withdrawal in July 2024. Nevada also elected a Republican governor in 2022. However, Kamala Harris, from neighboring California, had polled somewhat better since becoming the Democratic nominee. The state was rated as a tossup by nearly all major news organizations.
Despite more competitive polling after Harris entered the race, Trump won Nevada, defeating Harris by 3.10% and becoming the first Republican to win the state since George W. Bush in 2004. Trump's gains with Latino and Filipino voters were crucial to him flipping the state, and his 751,205 votes set a new record for votes cast for any candidate in state history.
Nevada was the only state that voted Democratic in both 2016 and 2020 but flipped to Trump in 2024, and the only state that voted differently from 2016 to 2024 (though Nebraska's second congressional district, with one electoral vote, voted for Trump in 2016 and for Harris in 2024). Never before in American history have two presidential elections differed by only a single state, with the closest previous instance coming between 1884 and 1888, when only New York and Indiana changed their vote, and more recently between 2008 and 2012, when only North Carolina and again Indiana changed their vote, along with NebraskaâÂÂs second congressional district.
The Nevada Democratic primary was held on February 6, 2024.
Although the Nevada state government established a primary system in 2021, the state Republican Party chose to boycott the primary, scheduled for February 6, in favor of a party-organized caucus, scheduled for February 8. Votes from the primary were not included in determining delegate allocation.
By 2022, every voter received a mail-in ballot unless they opted out, and eligible voters were automatically registered after common transactions at the DMV.
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Aggregate polls
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Aggregate polls
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Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Gavin Newsom vs. Ron DeSantis
Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump
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Trump won two of four congressional districts, including one that elected a Democrat.
Nevada is a Mountain West state, as well as a crucial swing state for the election. Trump became the first Republican presidential candidate to win the state since George W. Bush's narrow victory in 2004. It had not been won by double digits since Obama in 2008 against John McCain. Nevada had voted for the winner of every presidential election since 1980, with the exception of 2016, when it backed Hillary Clinton; and has been decided by single digits in every presidential election since 1992, with the exception of Barack Obama's 12.5% win in 2008. Obama won by less than 7% in 2012, and Trump lost by less than 2.5% in both 2016 and 2020. Today Nevada is a purple state. Democratic strength in Nevada is almost entirely focused on Las Vegas and Reno, along with many of their suburbs.
Trump's win was the first time since statehood that Nevada voted for a Republican and Colorado voted for a Democrat, as well as the first time since 2000 that New Mexico and Nevada had voted for different candidates in a presidential election. Trump won 47.8% of the vote in Clark County, home to Las Vegas, the highest percentage since 1988. Nevada was the only state that Trump lost in both 2016 and 2020 but won in 2024. This marked the sixth election in a row since 2004 that Nevada voted for the winner of the national popular vote, the longest active streak among any bellwether state. Nevada was one of four states that shifted to the right all three times Trump ran, the others being Arkansas, Florida, and Hawaii.
This was the first presidential election in which Clark County cast over a million votes. Lastly, this was also the first presidential election in Nevada's history in which both Clark County and Washoe County failed to back the winning candidate since the former's foundation in 1909 (in spite of the two counties making up the vast majority of the state's population). Ultimately, this occurrence is not unprecedented in Nevada's electoral history, as it has occurred twice before in Nevada's 2014 race for Attorney General and 2022 race for governor.
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