The 2024 United States presidential election in Minnesota took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Minnesota voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Minnesota has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.
Harris selected Minnesota Governor Tim Walz as her running mate. This decision was seen as a strategic effort to bolster support in the Midwest as well as among progressives. Walz's local popularity, progressive stances, and his record of addressing state-level issues were expected to positively influence voter turnout in Minnesota, and potentially secure the state for the Democratic ticket.
Harris won the state by 4.24 points, marking the thirteenth consecutive Democratic presidential win in Minnesota, the longest active such streak of any U.S. state. Prior to the election, all major news organizations considered Minnesota a state Harris would win, or otherwise a lean to likely blue state.
Although Harris won the state, the state still shifted rightward by 3% despite it being WalzâÂÂs home state. Nearly all counties in the state shifted rightward, with the exceptions of Cook, Lake and Lincoln counties, which recorded minor shifts to the left. This was part of all 50 states and D.C. shifting rightward in this election, also including Harrisâ home state of California. By contrast, Trump improved in his running mateâÂÂs home state of Ohio and massively improved in his home state of Florida.
Republican nominee Donald Trump was able to flip four counties that Joe Biden had won four years prior: Carlton, Blue Earth, Nicollet, and Winona. This was the first election since 1928 in which Carlton County voted Republican.
The Minnesota Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
The Minnesota Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
The Minnesota Legal Marijuana Now primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
The following presidential candidates received ballot access in Minnesota:
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Aggregate polls
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
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Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump
Josh Shapiro vs. Donald Trump
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
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Harris and Trump each won four of eight congressional districts.
An upper Midwestern state at the western end of the Great Lakes, Minnesota is seen as a moderately blue state. It has the longest active streak of voting for Democratic presidential nominees of any U.S. state; the last Republican to win Minnesota was Richard Nixon in 1972, against the backdrop of his 49-state landslide reelection; and it was also the only state to not back Ronald Reagan in 1984, with favorite son Walter Mondale victorious in his home state by a slim margin. However, presidential elections in Minnesota have consistently been competitive in the 21st century, with no Democrat carrying the state by double digits with the exception of Midwesterner Barack Obama, who did so by 10.2 percentage points in 2008. Minnesota was considered to be a Democratic-leaning state in this election; in the weeks leading up to Joe Biden's withdrawal from the presidential campaign, polls indicated a somewhat tight race in the state, but when Kamala Harris became the Democratic nominee, Minnesota polls shifted somewhat more in the Democrats' favor.
Trump became the first Republican presidential nominee to win Carlton County since Herbert Hoover in 1928. With Harris narrowly winning Clay County, which houses Moorhead, this was the first presidential election since 1988 in which said county did not back the winning candidate; during that election, it favored Democrat Michael Dukakis over Republican George H. W. Bush.
Even though Harris won the majority of votes in heavily Somali precincts in Minneapolis, her margins of victory were significantly lower than those of Joe Biden in 2020. For instance, in the Somali American hub of Cedar-Riverside, support for Harris dropped by 14 percentage points compared to 2020. This was part of a nationwide loss of support for the Democrats among Muslim voters, which was attributed to anger over the War in Gaza, backlash against the Democrats over LGBTQ and other cultural issues, and perceptions of a poorly handled economy.
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