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2024 United States Senate election in Tennessee

The 2024 United States Senate election in Tennessee was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Tennessee. Incumbent one-term Republican Senator Marsha Blackburn defeated state representative Gloria Johnson with 63.8% of the vote. Blackburn significantly improved on her performance from 2018.

The primaries took place on August 1, 2024, with Blackburn and Johnson winning their respective party nominations. This was the first general election for a Tennessee senate seat in which the two major party candidates were women.

Blackburn performed comparably to Donald Trump in the general election overall but notably outperformed him in some key counties. Specifically, she outperformed him in Hamilton, Madison, and Shelby. She also outperformed Trump in Haywood County—a county he lost and where she had also previously lost—but this time, she managed to flip it.

Although Gloria Johnson campaigned for the Senate seat, she simultaneously sought and won re-election to the State House in the 90th district, where she ran unopposed in that race.

Background

At the federal and state levels, Tennessee is considered to be a strongly red state, having gone to Donald Trump by 23 points in the 2020 presidential election. In Tennessee, Republicans occupy both Senate seats, 8 out of 9 U.S. House seats, supermajorities in both state legislative chambers, and the governor's office.

Due to Tennessee's strong conservative bent, this race was considered a "Safe" Republican hold.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Tres Wittum, legislative policy analyst and candidate for in 2022

Endorsements

Fundraising

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Gloria Johnson, state representative from the 90th district (2013–2015, 2019–present)

Eliminated in primary

Declined

  • Joanne Sowell, attorney

Endorsements

Fundraising

Polling

Results

Independents

Candidates

Declared

  • Tharon Chandler, farmer and Democratic nominee for in 2016
  • Pamela Moses, community activist and convicted felon
  • Hastina Robinson, firefighter

General election

After defeating Former Governor Phil Bredesen by a surprisingly wide margin in 2018, Blackburn sought re-election. She was easily re-nominated as the Republican nominee.

Initially, 2020 Democratic nominee for senate, Marquita Bradshaw was seen as the early favorite but months after her announcement, State Representative Gloria Johnson entered the race. Johnson had gained prominence for her protest on the Tennessee house floor over the 2023 Covenant School Shooting. Of the three representatives involved in the protest, two were expelled from the legislature, while Johnson narrowly avoided expulsion by just one vote. Johnson would go on to easily win the nomination.

Throughout the campaign, Blackburn consistently led Johnson in the polls and enjoyed a significant financial edge, with a $9 million fundraising advantage. On October 16, the two candidates were scheduled to debate, but Blackburn declined to attend, leaving Johnson to face an empty chair.

In the end, Blackburn easily won re-election, improving vastly from her 2018 performance by nearly 19 percentage points. She also narrowly flipped Haywood county, which had voted for Bredesen six years prior. While Johnson did perform well in the traditionally Democratic counties of Shelby and Davidson (Home to the cities of Memphis and Nashville respectively), she lost her home county, Knox County (Home to Knoxville) by a wide margin.

Predictions

Post-primary endorsements

Fundraising

Polling

Aggregate polls<br />

Marsha Blackburn vs. Marquita Bradshaw<br />

Results

By county

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Blackburn won eight of nine congressional districts.

See also

Notes

Partisan clients<br />

References

External links

Official campaign websites