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2020 United States Senate election in Iowa

The 2020 United States Senate election in Iowa was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Iowa, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Primaries were held on June 2. Incumbent Republican Senator Joni Ernst won re-election to a second term, defeating Democratic nominee Theresa Greenfield.

Most experts and pollsters considered this race and the concurrent presidential race as a tossup due to incumbent president Donald Trump's low approval ratings and Ernst's own popularity dropping in polls, partly due to a viral moment in a debate where she did not know the break-even price for soybeans. Despite this, Ernst was reelected by a larger-than-expected 6.6 points, while Trump simultaneously won the state with a bigger yet similarly unexpected margin of victory. Ernst carried an overwhelming majority of the state's counties including many rural ones, while Greenfield carried only eight counties: Polk, Linn, Scott, Johnson, Black Hawk, Story, Cerro Gordo and Jefferson.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Withdrawn

  • Paul Rieck

Endorsements

Result

Democratic primary

On June 2, 2020, Theresa Greenfield won the Democratic primary with 47.71% of the vote, defeating three other major candidates, including Michael Franken, a retired U.S. Navy admiral and former aide to U.S. Senator Ted Kennedy.

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

  • Cal Woods, journalist and U.S. Navy veteran (endorsed Michael T. Franken) (remained on ballot)

Declined

Debates

Endorsements

Polling

Results

Other candidates

Libertarian Party

Nominee

Independents

Declared

  • Suzanne Herzog, economist and former ER nurse

General election

Major media described the campaign as one of the most likely to decide control of the Senate after the 2020 election. Polls conducted after the primary showed a close contest between Greenfield and Ernst, with neither candidate leading by more than 4 points.

Through June 2020, Greenfield had raised $11.5 million, compared to $14.6 million for Ernst but by September, Greenfield had pulled ahead, raising $40.0 million compared to $21.6 million for Ernst. The race was expected to be the most expensive in the state's history, and the second most expensive Senate race in the United States, after the 2020 United States Senate election in North Carolina, where Cal Cunningham challenged Thom Tillis.

Debate

Predictions

Additional general election endorsements

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polling

with Eddie Mauro<br />

with Joni Ernst and generic Democrat<br />

with Joni Ernst and Generic Opponent<br />

with generic Republican and generic Democrat<br />

Results

By county

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Ernst carried all four congressional districts, including one that elected a Democrat.

See also

Notes

Partisan clients<br />

Voter samples<br />

References

Further reading

External links

Official campaign websites