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2020 United States Senate special election in Arizona

The 2020 United States Senate special election in Arizona was held on November 3, 2020, following the death in office of incumbent Republican U.S. Senator John McCain on August 25, 2018. Governor Doug Ducey was required by Arizona law to appoint a Republican to fill the vacant seat until a special election winner could be sworn in. On September 5, 2018, Ducey appointed former U.S. Senator Jon Kyl to fill McCain's seat. However, Kyl announced he would resign on December 31, 2018.

On December 18, 2018, Ducey announced that outgoing U.S. Representative Martha McSally would be appointed to fill the seat following Kyl's resignation. McSally was sworn in as the state's junior U.S. Senator on January 3, 2019, less than two months after she was defeated by Democrat Kyrsten Sinema for Arizona's Class 1 U.S. Senate seat. McSally ran to complete the term, defeating skincare executive Daniel McCarthy in the Republican primary. She faced former astronaut Mark Kelly, who ran uncontested in the Democratic primary. Primary elections took place on August 4, 2020.

Once a reliably Republican state, Arizona trended more purple in the late 2010s. Kelly significantly outraised McSally and led by about 5% in the average poll leading up to Election Day.

Kelly defeated McSally by a margin of 2.4% on election night, thereby flipping the seat Democratic. As a result, he outperformed Joe Biden in the concurrent presidential election, who defeated President Donald Trump by a margin of 0.3% in the state, but underperformed his polling average. Kelly became the first Democrat to win the Class 3 Senate seat since Carl Hayden won his last term in 1962.

Kelly was sworn in on December 2, 2020, marking the first time since 1953 that Democrats held both of Arizona’s Senate seats.

Interim appointments

Appointees

Potential candidates not appointed

Republican primary

Incumbent McSally faced one challenger: Daniel McCarthy, a skincare company executive. McCarthy's independent wealth was expected to set up a bruising and expensive primary campaign; however, McSally won the primary in a landslide.

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Sean Lyons (as a write-in candidate)
  • Daniel McCarthy, skincare company executive

Withdrawn

  • Craig Brittain, former revenge porn site operator
  • PT Burton
  • Mark Cavener
  • Floyd Getchell
  • Ann Griffin, former teacher
  • Josue Larose, 2016 Republican presidential candidate and 2012 Republican candidate for Louisiana's 2nd congressional district

Declined

Endorsements

Primary results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Bo "Heir Archy" Garcia (as a write-in candidate)

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Primary results

Libertarian primary

Neither one of the write-in candidates received enough votes to secure the Libertarian nomination in the general election.

Write-in candidates

Eliminated in primary

Primary results

Other candidates

General election write-in candidates

Declared

Republican

  • Edward Davida
  • John Schiess
  • Debbie Simmons
  • Patrick "Pat" Thomas

Democratic

  • Mohammed "Mike Obama" Arif
  • Adam Chilton
  • Perry Kapadia
  • Buzz Stewart

Other

  • Christopher Beckett, veteran (Independent)
  • William "Will" Decker (Independent)
  • Matthew "Doc" Dorchester (Libertarian)
  • Nicholas N. Glenn, Navy veteran and aerospace engineer (Independent Republican)
  • Mathew Haupt (Independent)
  • Benjamin Rodriguez (Independent)
  • Joshua Rodriguez (Unity)
  • Frank Saenz (Independent)
  • Jim Stevens (Independent)

Withdrawn

  • Robert Kay (Independent)

General election

Debates

Predictions

Post-primary endorsements

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

with Daniel McCarthy and Mark Kelly<br />

with Ruben Gallego<br />

on whether McSally deserves to be re-elected<br />

with generic Republican and generic Democrat<br />

Results

By county

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Kelly won five of nine congressional districts.

See also

Notes

Partisan clients<br />

References

Further reading

External links

Official campaign websites