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2020 United States Senate election in Alaska

The 2020 United States Senate election in Alaska was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Alaska, concurrently with the nationwide presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Senator Dan Sullivan won re-election to a second term in office, defeating Democratic nominee Al Gross, the son of Avrum Gross, who ran as an independent candidate. John Wayne Howe, the nominee of the Alaskan Independence Party, was also on the ballot and finished a distant third.

Both primaries took place on August 18, 2020. Some pundits considered this to be a potential "dark horse" flip for the Democrats, as Gross did unexpectedly well in polling despite Alaska usually being considered a Republican stronghold, even leading in some polls. However, this lead did not materialize. Sullivan won re-election by a margin of 12.7%, triple his average lead in the pre-election polling. Sullivan also became the first candidate since 2002 to win a Senate election in Alaska with more than 50% of the vote.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Withdrawn

  • Adam Master Newman

Endorsements

Primary results

Libertarian–Democratic–Independence primary

Candidates from the Alaska Democratic Party, the Alaska Libertarian Party, and the Alaskan Independence Party appear on the same ballot, with the highest-placed candidate from each party receiving that party's nomination. In October 2017, the Alaska Democratic Party sued for the right to allow non-Democrats to compete for and win the Democratic nomination, which was ultimately decided in their favor in April 2018.

Democratic candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Disqualified from the ballot

  • Larry N. Barnes (independent)

Withdrawn

  • David Darden (independent), nonpartisan candidate for Anchorage Assembly District 3 Seat E in the 2018 special election

Alaskan Independence candidates

Nominee

  • John Howe (Alaskan Independence), machinist

Endorsements

Primary results

Other candidates

Green Party

Nominee

Independent

Declared

Withdrawn

  • David Matheny, wildfire technician

General election

Issues

Pebble Mine

Before the election, the Trump administration considered granting a permit for the construction of Pebble Mine, a copper, gold, and molybdenum mine in Bristol Bay. Gross and Sullivan were both critical of the mine by August 2020, citing environmental concerns. In September 2020, recordings were released in which executives Tom Collier and Ron Thiessen stated that Alaska's senators, including Sullivan, would not take any concrete steps to oppose the mine despite their stated opposition. Gross used the recordings to attack Sullivan, claiming that Sullivan actually supported Pebble Mine. In response, Sullivan clarified his opposition to the mine. The mine was a major topic during the Senate debate on October 10. In the debate, Gross attacked Sullivan for being insufficiently opposed to the mine, while Sullivan defended his opposition.

Predictions

Additional general election endorsements

Polls

Graphical summary<br />

Polling<br />

with Forrest Dunbar<br />

with Forrest Dunbar as an independent<br />

Results

By state house district

Boroughs and census areas that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Notes

Partisan clients<br />

References

Further reading

External links

Official campaign websites