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2018 United States Senate election in Missouri

The 2018 United States Senate election in Missouri took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Missouri, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections, including Missouri's quadrennial State Auditor election.

This was one of ten Democratic-held Senate seats up for election in a state Donald Trump won in the 2016 presidential election. Incumbent Democratic Senator Claire McCaskill ran for re-election to a third term. McCaskill easily won her party's nomination, defeating several minor candidates in the primary, while Missouri Attorney General Josh Hawley comfortably won the Republican primary.

The candidate filing deadline was March 27, 2018, and the primary election was held on August 7, 2018. Pollsters predicted a tight race; however, Hawley defeated McCaskill on election day by 5.8%, taking 51.4% of the vote to McCaskill's 45.6%, a somewhat larger margin than expected. This resulted in Republicans holding both Senate seats in Missouri for the first time since McCaskill took office in 2007. Hawley was also the youngest incumbent senator at that time, and continued to be until the inauguration of Jon Ossoff in 2021. Despite her loss, McCaskill outperformed Hillary Clinton's performance in the state in the 2016 presidential race. This is the last U.S. Senate race in Missouri where the incumbent was defeated.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

  • Angelica Earl, former insurance verification specialist
  • David Faust
  • Travis Gonzalez, perennial candidate
  • John Hogan, perennial candidate
  • Leonard Steinman, perennial candidate
  • Carla (Coffee) Wright

Endorsements

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

  • Brian Hagg
  • Bradley Krembs
  • Tony Monetti, retired bomber pilot and assistant dean of aviation at University of Central Missouri
  • Kristi Nichols, activist and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010 and 2016
  • Ken Patterson, candidate for St. Louis County Executive in 2010
  • Austin Petersen, businessman and Libertarian candidate for presidential nomination in 2016
  • Peter Pfeifer
  • Fred Ryman, Constitution nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2016
  • Christina Smith
  • Courtland Sykes, veteran and former congressional aide

Withdrew

  • Camille Lombardi-Olive, Democratic candidate for MO-07 in 2016

Declined

Endorsements

Debates

Polling

Results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominated

  • Japheth Campbell, entrepreneur

Withdrew

  • Don Donald
  • Dennis Lagares

Declined

Results

Green primary

Candidates

Nominated

  • Jo Crain

Eliminated in primary

  • Jerome Bauer

Results

Independents

Candidates

Declared

  • Craig O'Dear, attorney

General election

Predictions

Debates

Fundraising

Polling

with Austin Petersen<br />

with generic Republican<br />

with Vicky Hartzler<br />

with Blaine Luetkemeyer<br />

with Todd Richardson<br />

with Eric Schmitt<br />

with Jason Smith<br />

Results

Senator McCaskill conceded a few hours after the polls closed on election day. Despite performing strongly in the St. Louis suburbs, she ran well behind her 2012 vote in Southeast Missouri, especially in the Lead Belt and the Missouri Bootheel. She also ran poorly in the northern part of the state.

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Hawley won five of eight congressional districts, with the remaining three going to McCaskill, including one that elected a Republican.

Voter demographics

References

External links

Official campaign websites