The 2015 Newfoundland and Labrador general election, held on November 30, 2015, elected members of the 48th General Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador. The Progressive Conservative Party which had governed since 2003 election, was defeated by the Liberal Party, which won a majority in the new assembly.
The election had been scheduled for October 13, 2015, under Newfoundland and Labrador's House of Assembly Act, mandating a fixed election day on the second Tuesday in October in the fourth calendar year after the previous election. However, the House of Assembly amended the act in June 2015, to delay the election until November 30, 2015, so that the election campaign would not overlap with the federal election scheduled on October 19, 2015.
Following the result of the election no party with the word "Conservative" in its name formed the government in either a provincial or federal jurisdiction in Canada for the first time since 1943.
At the time (with 55.2% of eligible voters casting a ballot), this election had the lowest turnout of any provincial election since confederation. This record was broken in 2021 when only 48.24% of eligible voters cast a ballot.
Following the 2011 provincial election Liberal leader Kevin Aylward announced his resignation as leader. Aylward was unable to win a seat in the legislature and announced on October 26, 2011, he would step down once his successor was chosen. On December 15, 2011, the Liberal Party announced that Dwight Ball would become Leader of the Opposition and interim Liberal leader effective January 3, 2012. Party president Judy Morrow announced in December 2011, that the party was not likely to hold a leadership convention until sometime in 2013. On November 17, 2013, Dwight Ball was elected leader of the Liberal Party.
On January 22, 2014, Kathy Dunderdale announced she was resigning as Premier of Newfoundland and Labrador and leader of the Progressive Conservative Party (PC Party) later that week and that Finance Minister Tom Marshall would replace her until the party selected a new leader. On January 24, 2014, Marshall was sworn in as the province's 11th premier. Marshall had indicated that he would not be seeking re-election as the member of the House of Assembly for Humber East and therefore would not contest the leadership of the Progressive Conservative Party. The party held its leadership convention on September 13, 2014, and chose Paul Davis as its leader. Davis was sworn in as the 12th Premier on September 26, 2014.
In June 2015, Premier Davis announced that a general election would be held in November, after the October federal election. Many veteran PC MHAs who had served in Danny Williams' cabinet did not seek re-election. On November 5, Davis visited the lieutenant governor to request that the House of Assembly be dissolved. The election would be held on November 30.
The Liberals consistently held a massive lead in public opinion polling throughout the campaign, with 66% support among decided voters at the outset and 67% support in a poll released just one week before election day.
Their lead was so large and so unshakable that some pundits openly speculated that the party could potentially sweep every seat in the province, although others suggested that this was unlikely. Numerous ridings in and around St. John's remained more competitive than provincewide polling suggested, and some voters appeared to be swayed in the final days by the argument that even if they were inclined to support the Liberals, the province's democratic process would not be well-served by giving one party a clean sweep of the legislature with no opposition party to challenge them.
In the final results, the Liberals did win almost every seat in most of the province, except for a single Progressive Conservative incumbent hanging on in Central Newfoundland; in St. John's, however, the New Democrats successfully retained two of the three seats they held in the city, while the Progressive Conservatives held onto almost every seat in the city's suburbs.
The largest victory in the province was won by Liberal MLA Andrew Parsons in Burgeo-La Poile, who took 96.5% of the more than 4,000 votes cast in his riding while neither of his opponents garnered even 100 votes.
This election saw the fourth change-in-government since Newfoundland and Labrador joined confederation in 1949.
The Liberal Party won 31 seats making this election their best election since 1999 when the party won 32. However, in 1990, the party won 32 of 48 seats (66.7%), while they won 31 of 40 seats (77.5%) in 2015. By percentage, this is the party's best result since 1966 when the party won 39 of 42 seats (92.9%). Dwight Ball is the province's first liberal premier since Roger Grimes. 6 liberal candidates won over 80% of the popular vote in their respective ridings and four of these six candidates were later appointed to the Executive Council.
With this election, PC leader Paul Davis became the fourth incumbent premier to not lead his party to re-election (after Joey Smallwood in 1972, Tom Rideout in 1989 and Roger Grimes in 2003). With seven of 40 seats (17.5%), this is the party's worst result since 1966 when it won three of 42 seats.
In the 2011 election, the NDP placed second in total votes. They won five seats (a record-high for the party); however, since the election, two NDP MHAs defected to the Liberal Party. Only two of the three remaining NDP MHAs ran for re-election; these two MHAs were the only NDP candidates to win in this election. By percentage of seats however, this is the second-best result the provincial NDP has ever had winning two of 40 seats (5%). However, NDP leader McCurdy was defeated in his district.
The district with the highest turnout was Cape St. Francis (71.68%). The district with the lowest turnout was Torngat Mountains (39.50%).
Bold incumbents indicate cabinet members and party leaders are italicized. The premier's name is boldfaced and italicized.
|- | style="background:whitesmoke;"| Mount Scio<br />46.81% turnout | |Rhonda Churchill Herder<br />1,104<br />27.4% || |Dale Kirby<br />1,899<br />47.1% | |Sean Panting<br />1,030<br />25.5% | | || |Dale Kirby<br /><span style="font-size: 75%;">St. John's North</span> |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"| St. John's Centre<br />47.58% turnout | |Kathie Hicks<br />490<br />10.6% | |Lynn Sullivan<br />1,923<br />41.7% || |Gerry Rogers<br />2,195<br />47.6% | | || |Gerry Rogers |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"| St. John's East-Quidi Vidi<br />56.40% turnout | |Joshua Collier<br />478<br />8.1% | |Paul Antle<br />2,365<br />40.2% || |Lorraine Michael<br />3,035<br />51.6% | | || | George Murphyâ <br /><span style="font-size: 75%;">St. John's East</span> |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"| St. John's West<br />55.63% turnout | |Dan Crummell<br />1,364<br />26.8% || |Siobhan Coady<br />2,342<br />46.0% | |Earle McCurdy<br />1,384<br />27.2% | | || |Dan Crummell |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"| Virginia Waters-Pleasantville<br />56.55% turnout | |Beth Crosbie<br />1,826<br />32.5% || |Bernard Davis<br />2,528<br />45.0% | |Bob Buckingham<br />1,259<br />22.4 | | || | Lorraine Michaelâ¡<br /><span style="font-size: 75%;">Signal Hill-Quidi Vidi</span> |- |style="background-color:whitesmoke" rowspan=3|Waterford Valley<br />55.13% turnout |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3|Alison Stoodley<br />792<br />14.6% |rowspan=3 | |rowspan=3| Tom Osborne<br />3,588<br />65.9% |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| Alison Coffin<br />1,062<br />19.5% |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| || |John Dinn<br /><span style="font-size: 75%;">Kilbride</span> |- | style="text-align:center;" colspan=2 |Merged District |- || |Tom Osborne<br /><span style="font-size: 75%;">St. John's South</span> |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"| Windsor Lake<br />52.59% turnout | |Ryan Cleary<br />970<br />20.2% || |Cathy Bennett<br />3,182<br />66.3% | |Don Rowe<br />647<br />13.5% | | || |Cathy Bennett<br /><span style="font-size: 75%;">Virginia Waters</span>
|- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Cape St. Francis<br />71.68% turnout || |Kevin Parsons<br />4,086<br />66.3% | |Geoff Gallant<br />1,613<br />26.2% | |Mark Gruchy<br />460<br />7.5% | | || |Kevin Parsons
|- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Conception Bay South<br />55.03% turnout || |Barry Petten<br />2,360<br />47.7% | |Steve Porter<br />2,187<br />44.2% | |Jeanne Clarke<br />398<br />8.0% | | || |Rex Hillierâ¡ |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Mount Pearl North<br />63.09% turnout || |Steve Kent<br />3,120<br />51.5% | |Randy Simms<br />2,571<br />42.4% | |Cameron Mercer-Maillet<br />370<br />6.1% | | || |Steve Kent |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Mount Pearl-Southlands<br />56.58% turnout | |Jim Lester<br />2,318<br />42.9% || |Paul Lane<br />2,559<br />47.4% | |Roy Locke<br />522<br />9.7% | | || |Paul Lane<br /><span style="font-size: 75%;">Mount Pearl South</span> |-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"| Conception Bay East â Bell Island<br />55.46% turnout || |David Brazil<br />3,463<br />59.2% | |Danny Dumaresque<br />1,582<br />27.1% | |Bill Kavanagh<br />803<br />13.7% | | || |David Brazil |-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"| Topsail-Paradise<br />57.58% turnout || |Paul Davis<br />3,381<br />58.3% | |Rex Hillier<br />2,137<br />36.9% | |Chris Bruce<br />281<br />4.8% | | || |Paul Davis <br /><span style="font-size: 75%;">Topsail</span>
|- |style="background-color:whitesmoke" rowspan=3|Carbonear-Trinity-Bay de Verde<br />49.02% turnout |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3|Tomas Shea<br />529<br />9.1% |rowspan=3 | |rowspan=3|Steve Crocker<br />4,952<br />85.0% |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3|David Coish<br />304<br />5.2% |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3|Ed Cole (Ind.)<br />38<br />0.7% || |Steve Crocker<br /><span style="font-size: 75%;">Trinity-Bay de Verde</span> |- | style="text-align:center;" colspan=2 |Merged District |- || |Sam Sladeç<br /><span style="font-size: 75%;">Carbonear-Harbour Grace</span> |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Ferryland<br />62.34% turnout || |Keith Hutchings<br />3,093<br />49.8% | |Jeff Marshall<br />2,550<br />41.1% | |Mona Rossiter<br />564<br />9.1% | | || |Keith Hutchings |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"| Harbour Grace-Port de Grave<br />59.50% turnout | |Glenn Littlejohn<br />2,289<br />36.3% || |Pam Parsons<br />3,877<br />61.5% | |Kathleen Burt<br />133<br />2.1% | | || |Glenn Littlejohn <br /><span style="font-size: 75%;">Port de Grave</span> |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Harbour Main<br />56.31% turnout | |Curtis Buckle<br />1,998<br />34.9% || |Betty Parsley<br />2,253<br />39.4% | |Raymond Flaherty<br />1,381<br />24.2% | |Ted Noseworthy <br />85<br />1.5% || |Tom Heddersonâ |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Placentia-St. Mary's<br />61.71% turnout | |Judy Manning<br />1,751<br />30.5% || |Sherry Gambin-Walsh<br />3,789<br />66.0% | |Peter Beck<br />197<br />3.4% | | || |Felix CollinsâÂÂ
|- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Bonavista<br />57.80% turnout | |Glen Little<br />1,436<br />27.0% || |Neil King<br />3,504<br />65.8% | |Adrian Power<br />116<br />2.2% | |Johanna Ryan Guy (Ind.)<br />269<br />5.1% || |Glen Little<br /><span style="font-size: 75%;">Bonavista South</span> |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"| Burin-Grand Bank<br />53.60% turnout | |Terence Fleming<br />441<br />8.8% || |Carol Anne Haley<br />3,962<br />79.4% | |Ambrose Penton<br />590<br />11.8% | | || |Darin Kingâ <br /><span style="font-size: 75%;">Grand Bank</span> |- |style="background-color:whitesmoke" rowspan=3|Placentia West-Bellevue<br />59.10% turnout |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3|Calvin Peach<br />1,931<br />33.7% |rowspan=3 | |rowspan=3|Mark Browne<br />3,645<br />63.7% |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3|Bobbie Warren<br />146<br />2.6% |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| || |Calvin Peach<br /><span style="font-size: 75%;">Bellevue</span> |- | style="text-align:center;" colspan=2 |Merged District |- || |Clyde Jackmanâ <br /><span style="font-size: 75%;">Burin-Placentia West</span> |- |style="background-color:whitesmoke" rowspan=3|Terra Nova<br />57.29% turnout |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3|Sandy Collins<br />2,422<br />42.8% |rowspan=3 | |rowspan=3|Colin Holloway<br />2,476<br />43.7% |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3|Bert Blundon<br />763<br />13.5 |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| || |Sandy Collins<br /><span style="font-size: 75%;">Terra Nova</span> |- | style="text-align:center;" colspan=2 |Merged District |- || |Ross Wisemanâ <br /><span style="font-size: 75%;">Trinity North</span>
|- | style="background:whitesmoke;"| Baie Verte-Green Bay<br />55.90% turnout | |Kevin Pollard<br />2,197<br />39.4% || |Brian Warr<br />3,130<br />56.1% | |Matt Howse<br />253<br />4.5% | | || |Kevin Pollard<br /><span style="font-size: 75%;">Baie Verte-Springdale</span> |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Exploits<br />56.16% turnout | |Clayton Forsey<br />2,489<br />47.0% || |Jerry Dean<br />2,654<br />50.2% | |Bridget Henley<br />148<br />2.8% | | || |Clayton Forsey |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Fogo Island-Cape Freels<br />48.20% turnout | |Eli Cross<br />1,387<br />27.6% || |Derrick Bragg<br />3,516<br />69.9% | |Rebecca Stuckey<br />128<br />2.5% | | || |Eli Cross<br /><span style="font-size: 75%;">Bonavista North</span> |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Gander<br />47.40% turnout | |Ryan Menchion<br />351<br />7.5% || |John Haggie<br />3,151<br />67.7% | |Lukas Norman<br />1,152<br />24.8% | | | |Vacant |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Fortune Bay-Cape La Hune<br />67.66% turnout || |Tracey Perry<br />1,830<br />49.1% | |Bill Carter<br />1,405<br />37.7% | |Mildred Skinner<br />494<br />13.2% | | || |Tracey Perry |- |style="background-color:whitesmoke" rowspan=3|Grand Falls-Windsor-Buchans<br />54.32% turnout |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3|Mark Whiffen<br />1,061<br />22.8% |rowspan=3 | |rowspan=3|Al Hawkins<br />2,534<br />54.6% |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3|Meaghan Keating<br />141<br />3.0% |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3|Rex Barnes (Ind.)<br />908<br />19.6% || |Susan Sullivanâ <br /><span style="font-size: 75%;">Grand Falls-Windsor-Buchans</span> |- | style="text-align:center;" colspan=2 |Merged District |- || |Ray Hunterâ <br /><span style="font-size: 75%;">Grand Falls-Windsor-Green Bay South</span> |- |style="background-color:whitesmoke" rowspan=3|Lewisporte-Twillingate<br />58.44% turnout |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3|Derrick Dalley<br />2,686<br />44.5% |rowspan=3 | |rowspan=3|Derek Bennett<br />3,254<br />53.9% |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3|Hillary Bushell<br />99<br />1.6% |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| || |Wade Vergeâ <br /><span style="font-size: 75%;">Lewisporte</span> |- | style="text-align:center;" colspan=2 |Merged District |- || |Derrick Dalley<br /><span style="font-size: 75%;">The Isles of Notre Dame</span>
|- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Burgeo-La Poile<br />57.73% turnout | |Georgia Darmonkow<br />93<br />2.2% || |Andrew Parsons<br />3,998<br />96.5% | |Kelly McKeown<br />53<br />1.3% | | || |Andrew Parsons |- |style="background-color:whitesmoke" rowspan=3|Corner Brook<br />45.03% turnout |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3|Neville Wheaton<br />779<br />16.6% |rowspan=3 | |rowspan=3|Gerry Byrne<br />3,121<br />66.7% |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3|Holly Pike<br />781<br />16.7% |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| || |Vaughn Granter<br /><span style="font-size: 75%;">Humber West</span> |- | style="text-align:center;" colspan=2 |Merged District |- || |Stelman Flynnç<br /><span style="font-size: 75%;">Humber East</span> |- |style="background-color:whitesmoke" rowspan=3|Humber - Gros Morne<br />64.85% turnout |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3|Graydon Pelley<br />983<br />16.2% |rowspan=3 | |rowspan=3|Dwight Ball<br />4,610<br />76.0% |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3|Mike Goosney<br />474<br />7.8% |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| || |Jim Bennettâ°<br /><span style="font-size: 75%;">St. Barbe</span> |- | style="text-align:center;" colspan=2 |Merged District |- || |Dwight Ball<br /><span style="font-size: 75%;">Humber Valley</span> |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Humber-Bay of Islands<br />52.56% turnout | |Ronald Jesseau<br />564<br />10.3% || |Eddie Joyce<br />4,622<br />84.5% | |Conor Curtis<br />282<br />5.2% | | || |Eddie Joyce<br /><span style="font-size: 75%;">Bay of Islands</span> |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"| St. Barbe-L'Anse aux Meadows<br />52.65% turnout | |Ford Mitchelmore<br />404<br />8.3% || |Chris Mitchelmore<br />4,359<br />89.3% | |Genevieve Brouillette<br />117<br />2.4% | | || |Chris Mitchelmore<br /><span style="font-size: 75%;">The Straits-White Bay North</span> |- |style="background:whitesmoke;"|St. George's-Humber<br />49.68% turnout | |Greg Osmond<br />708<br />15.2% || |Scott Reid<br />3,618<br />77.5% | |Shane Snook<br />341<br />7.3% | | || |Scott Reid<br /><span style="font-size: 75%;">St. George's-Stephenville East</span> |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Stephenville-Port au Port<br />51.24% turnout | |Tony Cornect<br />1,273<br />25.3% || |John Finn<br />3,262<br />64.8% | |Bernice Hancock<br />499<br />9.9% | | || |Tony Cornect<br /><span style="font-size: 75%;">Port au Port</span>
|- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Cartwright-L'Anse au Clair<br />49.30% turnout | |Jason MacKenzie<br />48<br />3.2% || |Lisa Dempster<br />1,405<br />93.0% | |Jennifer Deon<br />57<br />3.8% | | || |Lisa Dempster |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Labrador West<br />53.60% turnout | |Nick McGrath<br />712<br />21.5% || |Graham Letto<br />1,453<br />43.8% | |Ron Barron<br />1,152<br />34.7% | | || |Nick McGrath |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Lake Melville<br />47.97% turnout | |Keith Russell<br />850<br />28.6% || |Perry Trimper<br />1,840<br />62.0% | |Arlene Michelin-Pittman<br />280<br />9.4% | | || |Keith Russell (politician)|Keith Russell |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Torngat Mountains<br />39.50% turnout | |Sharon Vokey<br />23<br />2.7% || |Randy Edmunds<br />779<br />92.6% | |Mark Sharkey<br />39<br />4.6% | | || |Randy Edmunds
Preliminary results as of 1 December 2015.
Progressive Conservative
Liberal
New Democratic Party