my-server
← Wiki

2010 New Brunswick general election

The 2010 New Brunswick general election was held on September 27, 2010, to elect 55 members to the 57th New Brunswick Legislative Assembly, the governing house of the province of New Brunswick, Canada. The incumbent Liberal government won 13 seats, while the opposition Progressive Conservatives won a landslide majority of 42 seats in the legislature. As leader of the PC party, David Alward became New Brunswick's 32nd premier.

The Lieutenant-Governor of New Brunswick – acting on the advice of the Premier – would have originally been able to call an election earlier or as late as 2011; however a bill in the 56th Legislature has fixed election dates to the fourth Monday of September every four years beginning with this election.

With the defeat of Liberals, this election marked the first time in New Brunswick's history that a political party was voted out of office after just one term.

Timeline

2006

2007

  • March 5, 2007 – Liberal Chris Collins wins Lord's former seat in Moncton East changing the standings in the legislature to 30 Liberals, 25 Progressive Conservatives.
  • April 17, 2007 – Progressive Conservatives Joan MacAlpine-Stiles and Wally Stiles cross the floor and join the Liberals changing the standings in the legislature to Liberals 32, Progressive Conservatives 23.
  • May 29, 2007 – Government House Leader Stuart Jamieson tables Bill 75 which would fix election dates to the fourth Monday of September every four years beginning on September 27 in 2010.
  • October 13, 2007 – The NDP elect Roger Duguay as their new leader.

2008

  • May 17, 2008 – The Green Party of New Brunswick is formed. Mike Milligan is elected as the interim leader of the party until a convention can be held in the fall.
  • October 18, 2008 – David Alward is elected as leader of the Progressive Conservative Party.
  • November 3, 2008 – Progressive Conservative Jack Carr holds a seat previously held by fellow Progressive Conservative Keith Ashfield who was elected as Conservative MP for Fredericton restoring the standings in the legislature to 32 Liberals, 23 Progressive Conservatives.

2009

2010

  • January 4, 2010 – Justice Minister Michael Murphy unexpectedly resigns his seat to "spend more time with his family and return to practising law".
  • February 5, 2010 – Cabinet Minister Stuart Jamieson is forced to leave his cabinet post for suggesting that the NB power deal be put to a referendum.
  • March 24, 2010 – Premier Shawn Graham announces that the proposed sale of NB Power has been canceled.
  • May 10, 2010 – Premier Shawn Graham shuffles the New Brunswick cabinet. Bernard LeBlanc is reinstated as minister of justice, and also named the first minister responsible for public engagement. Brian Kenny is promoted to the tourism portfolio. Cheryl Lavoie enters cabinet as minister of state for seniors. Donald Arseneault gains title of deputy premier.
  • May 19, 2010 – Progressive Conservatives release Vision for Citizen Engagement and Responsible Government, a pre-campaign document that outlines the PC strategy to improve citizen engagement.
  • June 9, 2010 – People's Alliance officially forms the newest N.B. political party under the leadership of former Tory Kris Austin.
  • September 27, 2010 – David Alward is elected into office as Premier of New Brunswick.

Results

= New party

Synopsis of results

= Open seat
= Turnout is above provincial average
= Winning candidate was in previous Legislature
= Incumbent had switched allegiance
= Previously incumbent in another riding
= Not incumbent; was previously elected to the Legislature
= Incumbency arose from byelection gain
= Other incumbents renominated
= Previously an MP in the House of Commons of Canada
= Multiple candidates

Results by region

Results by place

Target ridings

The following is a list of ridings which were narrowly lost by the indicated party. For instance, under the Liberal column are the 10 seats in which they came closest to winning from the Conservatives, while under the Conservative column are the 10 seats in which they came closest to winning from the Liberals. Listed is the name of the riding, and the margin, in terms of percentage of the vote, by which the party lost.

These ridings are likely to be targeted by the specified party because the party lost them by a very slim margin in the 2006 election.

Up to 10 are shown, with a maximum margin of victory of 15%. No party or independent candidate, other than the Liberals or Progressive Conservatives, came within 15% of winning any seats.

<nowiki>*</nowiki> Indicates incumbent not running again.

To clarify further; this is a list of provincial general election winners with their party in parentheses, and their margin as a percentage of the vote over the party whose list the seat is on (not the same as the margin of victory if the party potentially "targeting" the seat in that list did not finish second in the previous election). "Won" means that the targeting party won the seat from the incumbent party. "Held" means the incumbent party held the seat.

The ridings of Moncton East, Moncton West, Restigouche-La-Vallée and Petitcodiac are also likely to be targeted by the Conservatives as all have switched to the Liberals since the 2006 election. Moncton East and Restigouche-La-Vallée were carried by the Liberals in by-elections while the MLAs for Moncton West and Petitcodiac crossed the floor from the PCs to the Liberals.

Opinion polls

Candidates

Retiring incumbents

The following sitting MLAs have announced that they will not seek re-election.

Candidates by riding

Legend

  • bold denotes cabinet minister or party leader
  • italics denotes a potential candidate who has not received his/her party's nomination
  • † denotes an incumbent who is not running for re-election

Northeast

|- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|1. Campbellton-Restigouche Centre | |Roy Boudreau<br />2,453<br />34.42% || |Greg Davis<br />3,914<br />54.92% | |Widler Jules<br />524<br />7.35% | |Lynn Morrison Hemson<br />236<br />3.31% | | || |Roy Boudreau |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|2. Dalhousie-Restigouche East || |Donald Arseneault<br />3,631<br />46.53% | |Joseph Elias<br />2,593<br />33.23% | |Ray Godin<br />1,413<br />18.11% | |Susan Smissaert<br />167<br />2.14% | | || |Donald Arseneault |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|3. Nigadoo-Chaleur || |Roland Haché<br />3,649<br />49.77% | |Fred Albert<br />2,798<br />38.16% | |Serge Beaubrun<br />706<br />9.63% | |Mathieu LaPlante<br />179<br />2.44% | | || |Roland Haché |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|4. Bathurst || |Brian Kenny<br />2,899<br />44.99% | |Nancy McKay<br />2,821<br />43.78% | |Sebastien Duke<br />620<br />9.62% | |Hazel Hachey<br />104<br />1.61% | | || |Brian Kenny |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|5. Nepisiguit | |Cheryl Lavoie<br />1,946<br />32.49% || |Ryan Riordon<br />2,456<br />41.01% | |Pierre Cyr<br />1,476<br />24.65% | |Patrice Des Lauriers<br />111<br />1.85% | | || |Cheryl Lavoie |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|6. Caraquet || |Hédard Albert<br />3,663 – (50.07%) | |Philip Chiasson<br />3,041 – (41.57%) | |Claudia Julien<br />406 – (5.55%) | |Mathieu Chayer<br />206 – (2.82%) | | || |Hédard Albert |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|7. Lamèque-Shippagan-Miscou | |Alonzo Rail<br />2,304 – (31.74%) || |Paul Robichaud<br />4,272 – (58.84%) | |Armel Chiasson<br />684 – (9.42%) | | | | || |Paul Robichaud |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|8. Centre-Péninsule-Saint-Sauveur || |Denis Landry<br />4,655 – (63.85%) | |Anike Robichaud<br />1,487 – (20.40%) | |Francois Rousselle<br />1,149 – (15.76%) | | | | || |Denis Landry |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|9. Tracadie-Sheila | |Norma McGraw<br />1,480 – (18.96%) || |Claude Landry<br />3,808 – (48.78%) | |Roger Duguay<br />2,518 – (32.26%) | | | | || |Claude Landry |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|10. Miramichi Bay-Neguac | |Carmel Robichaud<br />2,546 – (37.36%) || |Serge Robichaud<br />2,908 – (42.67%) | |Marc-Alphonse Leclair<br />1,132 – (16.61%) | |Filip Vanicek<br />93 – (1.36%) | |Thomas L'Huillier (PANB)<br />136 – (2.00%) || |Carmel Robichaud |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|11. Miramichi-Bay du Vin || |Bill Fraser<br />3,290 – (49.62%) | |Joan Cripps<br />2,615 – (39.44%) | |Kelly Clancy-King<br />510 – (7.69%) | |Ronald Mazerolle<br />216 – (3.26%) | | || |Bill Fraser |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|12. Miramichi Centre | |John Foran<br />2,552 – (38.56%) || |Robert Trevors<br />3,187 – (48.16%) | |Douglas Mullin<br />379 – (5.73%) | |Dylan Schneider<br />175 – (2.64%) | |Frances Connell (PANB)<br />325 – (4.91%) || |John Foran |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|13. Southwest Miramichi | |Rick Brewer<br />1,952 – (30.17%) || |Jake Stewart<br />3,792 – (58.60%) | |Jason Robar<br />200 – (3.09%) | |Jimmy Lawlor<br />204 – (3.15%) | |Wes Gullison (PANB)<br />323 – (4.99%) || |Rick Brewer

Southeast

|- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|14. Rogersville-Kouchibouguac || |Bertrand LeBlanc<br />3,442 – (46.03%) | |Jimmy Bourque<br />3,174 – (42.45%) | |Alida Fagan<br />861 – (11.52%) | | | | || |vacant |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|15. Kent || |Shawn Graham<br />3,722 – (55.72%) | |Bruce Hickey<br />1,720 – (25.75%) | |Susan Levi-Peters<br />1,023 – (15.31%) | |Garry Sanipass<br />215 – (3.22%) | | || |Shawn Graham |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|16. Kent South | |Martin Goguen<br />2,447 – (29.20%) || |Claude Williams<br />5,055 – (60.33%) | |Oscar Doucet<br />503 – (6.00%) | |Luc LeBreton<br />374 – (4.46%) | | || |Claude Williams |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|17. Shediac-Cap-Pelé || |Victor Boudreau<br />5,244 – (61.33%) | |Janice Brun<br />2,121 – (24.81%) | |Yves Leger<br />669 – (7.82%) | |Natalie Arsenault<br />409 – (4.78%) | |Charles Vautour (Ind.)<br />107 – (1.25%) || |Victor Boudreau |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|18. Tantramar | |Beth Barczyk<br />911 – (19.02%) || |Mike Olscamp<br />2,712 – (56.62%) | |Bill Evans<br />513 – (10.71%) | |Margaret Tusz-King<br />654 – (13.65%) | | || |Mike Olscamp |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|19. Memramcook-Lakeville-Dieppe || |Bernard LeBlanc<br />3,426 – (50.82%) | |Fortunat Duguay<br />2,174 – (32.25%) | |Denis Brun<br />707 – (10.49%) | |Fanny Leblanc<br />435 – (6.45%) | | || |Bernard LeBlanc |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|20. Dieppe Centre-Lewisville || |Roger Melanson<br />4,541 – (46.24%) | |Dave Maltais<br />3,429 – (34.91%) | |Agathe Lapointe<br />1,174 – (11.95%) | |Paul LeBreton<br />677 – (6.89%) | | || |Cy LeBlanc†|- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|21. Moncton East || |Chris Collins<br />2,694 – (41.54%) | |Karen Nelson<br />2,528 – (38.98%) | |Teresa Sullivan<br />626 – (9.65%) | |Roy MacMullin<br />637 – (9.82%) | | || |Chris Collins |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|22. Moncton West | |Anne Marie Picone Ford<br />1,995 – (32.50%) || |Susan Stultz<br />2,983 – (48.59%) | |Shawna Gagne<br />580 – (9.45%) | |Carrie Sullivan<br />503 – (8.19%) | |Barry Renouf (Ind.)<br />78 – (1.27%) || |Joan MacAlpine-Stiles†|- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|23. Moncton North | |Kevin Robart<br />1,912 – (36.54%) || |Marie-Claude Blais<br />2,349 – (44.90%) | |Jean Guimond<br />512 – (9.79%) | |Greta Doucet<br />367 – (7.01%) | |Carl Bainbridge (PANB)<br />92 – (1.76%) || |vacant |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|24. Moncton Crescent | |Russ Mallard<br />2,538 – (30.77%) || |John Betts<br />4,171 – (50.57%) | |Cyprien Okana<br />809 – (9.81%) | |Mike Milligan<br />730 – (8.85%) | | || |John Betts |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|25. Petitcodiac | |Wally Stiles<br />1,769 – (23.84%) || |Sherry Wilson<br />4,135 – (55.74%) | |Leta Both<br />666 – (8.98%) | |Bethany Thorne-Dykstra<br />849 – (11.44%) | | || |Wally Stiles |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|26. Riverview | |Lana Hansen<br />1,626 – (23.47%) || |Bruce Fitch<br />4,357 – (62.89%) | |Darryl Pitre<br />457 – (6.60%) | |Steven Steeves<br />488 – (7.04%) | | || |Bruce Fitch |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|27. Albert | |Claude Curwin<br />1,252 – (19.54%) || |Wayne Steeves<br />4,009 – (62.57%) | |Anthony Crandall<br />412 – (6.43%) | |Vernon Woolsey<br />448 – (6.99%) | |Lucy Rolfe (PANB)<br />286 – (4.46%) || |Wayne Steeves

– <small>Collins won the seat in a by-election on March 5, 2007. The seat was previously held by Progressive Conservative former premier Bernard Lord.</small>

– <small>MacAlpine-Stiles crossed the floor to the Liberals on April 17, 2007. She previously sat as a Progressive Conservative.</small>

– <small>Stiles crossed the floor to the Liberals on April 17, 2007. He previously sat as a Progressive Conservative.</small>

Southwest

|- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|28. Kings East | |George Horton<br />1,418 – (21.14%) || |Bruce Northrup<br />4,476 – (66.73%) | |Robert Murray<br />487 – (7.26%) | |Jenna Milligan<br />327 – (4.87%) | | || |Bruce Northrup |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|29. Hampton-Kings | |Kit Hickey<br />1,668 – (22.28%) || |Bev Harrison<br />4,302 – (57.47%) | |Julie Drummond<br />1,193 – (15.93%) | |Pierre Roy<br />323 – (4.31%) | | || |Bev Harrison |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|30. Quispamsis | |Mary Schryer<br />2,752 – (34.24%) || |Blaine Higgs<br />4,075 – (50.70%) | |Matt Doherty<br />911 – (11.33%) | |Mark Woolsey<br />300 – (3.73%) | | || |Mary Schryer |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|31. Saint John-Fundy | |Gary Keating<br />1,736 – (30.98%) || |Glen Savoie<br />2,913 – (51.99%) | |Lise Lennon<br />594 – (10.60%) | |Matthew Clark<br />187 – (3.34%) | |Glenn McAllister (PANB)<br />173 – (3.09%) || |Stuart Jamieson†|- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|32. Rothesay | |Victoria Clarke<br />1,694 – (28.40%) || |Margaret-Ann Blaney<br />3,374 – (56.57%) | |Pamela Scichilone<br />535 – (8.97%) | |Sharon Murphy-Flatt<br />361 – (6.05%) | | || |Margaret-Ann Blaney |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|33. Saint John East | |Kevin McCarville<br />1,867 – (33.06%) || |Glen Tait<br />2,137 – (37.84%) | |Sandy Harding <br />1,338 – (23.69%) | |Ann McAllister<br />305 – (5.40%) | | || |Roly MacIntyre†|- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|34. Saint John Harbour | |Ed Doherty<br />1,326 – (30.45%) || |Carl Killen<br />1,333 – (30.66%) | |Wayne Dryer<br />1,203 – (27.63%) | |Patty Higgins<br />236 – (5.45%) | |John Campbell (Ind.)<br />247 – (5.81%) || |Ed Doherty |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|35. Saint John Portland | |Dan Joyce<br />2,062 – (35.31%) || |Trevor Holder<br />2,926 – (50.10%) | |Jeremy Higgins<br />576 – (9.86%) | |Stefan Warner<br />192 – (3.29%) | |Lisa Cromwell (PANB)<br />84 – (1.44%) || |Trevor Holder |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|36. Saint John Lancaster | |Abel LeBlanc<br />2,287 – (33.81%) || |Dorothy Shephard<br />3,433 – (50.75%) | |Habib Kilisli<br />688 – (10.17%) | |Mary Ellen Carpenter<br />247 – (3.65%) | |Wendy Coughlin (PANB)<br />110 – (1.63%) || |Abel LeBlanc |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|37. Fundy-River Valley | |Jack Keir<br />1,815 – (28.74%) || |Jim Parrott<br />3,633 – (57.53%) | |David Sullivan<br />427 – (6.76%) | |Stephanie Coburn<br />222 – (3.52%) | |Edward Hoyt (PANB)<br />218 – (3.45%) || |Jack Keir |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|38. Charlotte-The Isles || |Rick Doucet<br />3,176 – (51.27%) | |Sharon Tucker<br />2,286 – (36.90%) | |Sharon Greenlaw<br />305 – (4.92%) | |Burt Folkins<br />180 – (2.91%) | |Theresa James (PANB)<br />248 – (4.00%) || |Rick Doucet |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|39. Charlotte-Campobello | |Annabelle Juneau<br />1,516 – (24.46%) || |Curtis Malloch<br />2,980 – (48.08%) | |Lloyd Groom<br />798 – (12.88%) | |Janice Harvey<br />500 – (8.07%) | |John Craig (PANB)<br />404 – (6.52%) || |Tony Huntjensâ€Â

Central

|- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|40. Oromocto | |Georgina Jones<br />569 – (12.62%) || |Jody Carr<br />3,662 – (81.23%) | |Beau Davidson<br />277 – (6.14%) | | | | || |Jody Carr |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|41. Grand Lake-Gagetown | |Barry Armstrong<br />2,108 – (29.16%) || |Ross Wetmore<br />3,290 – (45.51%) | |J.R. Magee<br />237 – (3.28%) | |Sandra Burtt<br />175 – (2.42%) | |Kris Austin (PANB)<br />1,419 – (19.63%) || |Eugene McGinley†|- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|42. Fredericton-Nashwaaksis | |T.J. Burke<br />2,712 – (35.28%) || |Troy Lifford<br />3,656 – (47.56%) | |Dana Brown<br />592 – (7.70%) | |Jack MacDougall<br />727 – (9.46%) | | || |T.J. Burke |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|43. Fredericton-Fort Nashwaak | |Kelly Lamrock<br />2,586 – (34.16%) || |Pam Lynch<br />3,571 – (47.17%) | |Andy Scott<br />861 – (11.37%) | |Kathleen MacDougall<br />553 – (7.30%) | | || |Kelly Lamrock |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|44. Fredericton-Lincoln | |Greg Byrne<br />2,178 – (35.31%) || |Craig Leonard<br />2,437 – (39.51%) | |Jason Purdy<br />945 – (15.32%) | |Tracey Waite<br />608 – (9.86%) | | || |Greg Byrne |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|45. Fredericton-Silverwood | |Rick Miles<br />2,469 – (32.53%) || |Brian Macdonald<br />2,931 – (38.62%) | |Tony Myatt<br />1,220 – (16.07%) | |Jim Wolstenholme<br />903 – (11.90%) | |Jim Andrews (Ind.)<br />67 – (0.88%) || |Rick Miles |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|46. New Maryland-Sunbury West | |Larry DeLong<br />1,502 – (23.33%) || |Jack Carr<br />4,097 – (63.65%) | |Jesse Travis<br />547 – (8.50%) | |Ellen Comer<br />291 – (4.52%) | | || |Jack Carr |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|47. York | |Winston Gamblin<br />1,486 – (22.95%) || |Carl Urquhart<br />3,614 – (55.82%) | |Sharon Scott-Levesque<br />1,012 – (15.63%) | |Jean Louis Deveau<br />362 – (5.59%) | | || |Carl Urquhart |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|48. York North | |Eugene Price<br />1,232 – (17.39%) || |Kirk MacDonald<br />4,486 – (63.33%) | |Genevieve MacRae<br />675 – (9.53%) | |Jarrod Currie<br />305 – (4.31%) | |Steven Hawkes (PANB)<br />386 – (5.45%) || |Kirk MacDonald

– <small>Carr won the seat in a by-election on November 3, 2008. The seat was previously held by fellow Progressive Conservative Keith Ashfield.</small>

Northwest

|- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|49. Woodstock | |Jeff Bradbury<br />710 – (10.22%) || |David Alward<br />4,673 – (67.27%) | |Conrad Anderson<br />280 – (4.03%) | |Todd Antworth<br />103 – (1.48%) | |Dale Allen (Ind.)<br />996 – (14.34%)<br />David Kennedy (PANB)<br />185 – (2.66%) || |David Alward |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|50. Carleton | |Peter Cook<br />1,711 – (27.17%) || |Dale Graham<br />3,884 – (61.67%) | |Jacob Elsinga<br />319 – (5.07%) | |Tegan Wong-Daugherty<br />384 – (6.10%) | | || |Dale Graham |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|51. Victoria-Tobique | |Larry Kennedy<br />2,039 – (40.05%) || |Wes McLean<br />2,684 – (52.72%) | |David Burns<br />109 – (2.14%) | |Wayne Sabine<br />118 – (2.32%) | |Carter Edgar (Ind.)<br />141 – (2.77%) || |Larry Kennedy |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|52. Grand Falls-Drummond-Saint-André | |Ron Ouellette<br />2,715 – (43.60%) || |Danny Soucy<br />3,058 – (49.11%) | |Maureen Michaud<br />292 – (4.69%) | |Cécile Martel Robitaille<br />162 – (2.60%) | | || |Ron Ouellette |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|53. Restigouche-La-Vallée | |Burt Paulin<br />2,492 – (35.72%) || |Martine Coulombe<br />3,727 – (53.43%) | |Alain Martel<br />551 – (7.90%) | |André Arpin<br />206 – (2.95%) | | || |Burt Paulin |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|54. Edmundston-Saint-Basile | |Michelle Daigle<br />1,362 – (18.60%) || |Madeleine Dubé<br />5,551 – (75.81%) | |Michel Thebeau<br />226 – (3.09%) | |Michelle Simard<br />183 – (2.50%) | | || |Madeleine Dubé |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|55. Madawaska-les-Lacs | |Jocelyn Lévesque<br />1,989 – (31.85%) || |Yvon Bonenfant<br />3,380 – (54.13%) | |Nicole Theriault<br />230 – (3.68%) | | | |Jean-Marc Nadeau (Ind.)<br />645 – (10.33%) || |Jeannot Volpéâ€Â

– <small>Paulin won the seat in a by-election on March 9, 2009. The seat was previously held by Progressive Conservative Percy Mockler.</small>

References

External links